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Your Guide to the Suburban Philadelphia Real Estate Market
      
 

Suburban Philadelphia Real Estate
      February 2014 Newsletter
A note from Brendan Reilly

Greetings!  My newsletter covers local and national real estate trends to keep you abreast of current conditions.  If you or anyone you know is looking to buy or sell a property in Suburban Philadelphia, I would love to help!
 


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Local Market Summary
For the first time in over 2 years, we saw pending sales decline in Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery Counties.  Settled units also experienced negative year-over-year growth in Chester and Delaware Counties.  This comes on the heels of double digit settlement growth in all three counties for each of the past 2 years.  The primary culprit is lack of inventory.  In real estate, a 6 month supply of inventory is considered balanced.  Anything less is a seller's market meaning demand outpaces inventory.  We are at or below 6 month's supply in all three counties.  If you've been thinking of selling, now is the time!

Existing-Home Sales Drop in January While Prices Continue to Grow
Existing-home sales fell in January to the lowest level in a year-and-a-half, but ongoing inventory shortages continue to lift prices in much of the U.S., according to the National Association of Realtors®.
Total existing-home sales dropped 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.62 million in January from 4.87 million in December, and are also 5.1 percent below the 4.87 million-unit pace in January 2013. Last month’s level of activity was the slowest since July 2012, when it stood at 4.59 million.  
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said unusual weather is playing a role. “Disruptive and prolonged winter weather patterns across the country are impacting a wide range of economic activity, and housing is no exception,” he said. “Some housing activity will be delayed until spring. At the same time, we can’t ignore the ongoing headwinds of tight credit, limited inventory, higher prices and higher mortgage interest rates. These issues will hinder home sales activity until the positive factors of job growth and new supply from higher housing starts begin to make an impact.”  The median existing-home price for all housing types in January was $188,900, up 10.7 percent from January 2013.  According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage slipped to 4.43 percent in January from 4.46 percent in December; the rate was 3.41 percent in January 2013.

 
Home Values Expected to Rise Through 2018
A majority of more than 100 forecasters say they expect large-scale investors to sell off the bulk of homes in their portfolios in the next three to five years, boosting inventory and potentially contributing to a smoother market ahead.  On average, panelists also say they expected nationwide home value appreciation of 4.5% through the end of this year, a pace that exceeds historically normal appreciation rates of around 3 percent.  This appreciation is expected to slow to roughly 3.8 percent in 2015 and 3.3 percent by 2018.  Based on current expectations for home value appreciation during the next five years, panelists predicted that overall U.S. home values could exceed their April 2007 peak by the first quarter of 2018.  
 
Pennsylvania's top high schools ranked by SAT score
The Pennsylvania Department of Education has updated its database to show average SAT test scores statewide for 2013.  The state provides each public high school’s verbal, math and writing scores. The Philadelphia Business Journal added up the scores and ranked schools.  The Philadelphia area was well represented on the list and a local school even took the top spot.

Click through to see the top 50 schools.

 
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Market Snapshot by County

Chester    2013     2014   Change
Settled        298        289     (3.0%)
Pending       375        356     (5.1%)
Inventory   2,570     2,364    (8.0%)

Delco       2013     2014   Change
Settled       286        249     (13.3%)
Pending      382        351     (8.1%)
Inventory   2,801    2,606    (7.0%)

Montco    2013     2014   Change
Settled        438        452      3.2%
Pending      443        450       1.6%
Inventory   3,428     3,321    (3.1%)



In the News...

Radnor School Board discusses $18 million budget deficit projection:
 Radnor School Board recently shared a five-year budget projection that showed a possible $18 million deficit by 2019.  At a recent school board finance committee meeting, Business Administrator Timothy Vail downplayed the concerns of some board members and members of the public. “The five-year study is very, very conservative on the revenue side,” Vail said. “On the expense side, I feel very comfortable with the numbers.” Vail noted that previous “historical” budget projections had also predicted deficits, while the district actually ran surpluses. Vail said the district has earmarked its fund balance for various items, such as the employee retirement fund and capital improvements. As for an $18 million deficit, he said, “Our job is to make sure we’re proactive with each budget to make sure that (deficit) doesn’t happen.”
Source: Daily Times; 2/18/2014

Lower Merion schools propose 4.11 percent tax hike: 
Lower Merion School District began the public budget process with an initial proposal to increase school property taxes by 4.11 percent for the 2014-15 school year.  For a home assessed at $250,000, the property owner would see a school tax increase of $251. Lower Merion Superintendent Chris McGinley followed the presentation by saying, “I would just also note that we present this as the preliminary budget and our work on the budget is not complete,” noting that the school district is awaiting more information on state funding and better information on local revenues. The district cites growing enrollment for an increase in budget expenditures.
Source: Main Line Times; 2/2/2014

Radnor struggles to find a use for Wyeth property
: Approximately a decade has elapsed since the last Wyeth workers walked out of the complex in Radnor Township that had served as their company's global headquarters since the 1950s.  More than history, their departure for a new headquarters in Collegeville created something nearly as valuable: a sprawling piece of commercial property in one of the region's most desirable but largely developed zip codes. The 26-acre parcel, near the intersection of I-476 and Route 30, represents one of Radnor's largest development opportunities in years. But plans to revitalize the mostly vacant site have stirred as much controversy. A meeting was held last week about the future of the property. The property owner, BioMed Realty Trust, wants to build a 350-unit apartment building, a hotel, office space, and retail shops on the King of Prussia Road site, a tract across from Radnor High School and a stone's throw from heavily traveled roads that already tend to clog at rush hour.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer; 2/4/2014
 
Upper Merion rail spur on track
: Over 100 residents and local officials attended a presentation on SEPTA's proposal to extend the Norristown High Speed line four miles into Upper Merion.
The $500 million commuter rail extension would serve the King of Prussia mall and nearby business parks. Several route options were presented and can be viewed at www.kingofprussiarail.com. Jobs in Upper Merion are projected to grow to 62,100 by 2040 with 12,500 at the King of Prussia mall and 19,000 in area office parks. Currently, 4,000 people use the SEPTA bus service to reach the mall daily. The rail spur idea is a long-range plan with completion being at least eight years away.
Source: Times Herald; 2/2/2014
 
Radnor to seek new proposals for The Willows, manager suggests dismantling mansion: The mansion at The Willows is safe for the moment.  
However, the Radnor Township Board of Commissioners approved a new round of requests Monday for proposals after a caterer who was awarded a contract last year failed to find financial backing for proposed renovations to the 1910 estate house. The township has owned the 42-acre property since 1972. Most of the property is devoted to parkland.  Township Manager Robert Zienkowski suggested that if no solution is found, the board should consider dismantling the historic house. However, the commissioners want to preserve the old home. Source: Main Line Media News



 

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