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A 2015 ceasefire signed in Minsk is largely holding in eastern Ukraine, while the most likely outcome is a brittle, long-term frozen conflict. Nevertheless, Russia is juggling many options, and Minsk remains a vital possible path to resolution. The deal deserves steadfast, sanctions-backed support from the U.S. and European Union. (5 February)
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January saw an intensification of Yemen's war, rising political tensions in Haiti, Guinea-Bissau and Moldova, increasing Boko Haram attacks in northern Cameroon and an unprecedented terror attack in Burkina Faso. North Korea announced it had carried out a successful hydrogen bomb test, while on a positive note Iran's nuclear-related sanctions were lifted in accordance with the July 2015 deal. (1 February)
Read the full issue | Visit the database
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Magdalena Grono, In Pursuit of Peace, 5 February
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Cleopatra Kitti, The Future of Conflict, 4 February
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Kyle Johnson, Razón Pública, 1 de febrero
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Jean-Marie Guéhenno, Internazionale, 21 gennaio
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Claudia Gazzini, Senior Libya Analyst, joins BBC Newsnight to discuss countering Islamic State's progress, including continued international engagement for the stumbling political process and backing local military actors. (3 February)
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Ofer Zalzberg, analyste principal pour l'Israël et la Palestine, rejoint i24 News pour constater qu'une nouvelle phase du terrorisme commence en Israël, après l'attaque à Jérusalem du 3 février - débute à 14'47. (3 février)
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Noah Bonsey, Senior Syria Analyst, joins a discussion on NPR regarding the Geneva talks on Syria, analysing the myriad of national interests, along with a possible compromise position between opposition groups. (3 February)
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Comfort Ero, Africa Program Director, speaks to Al Jazeera English and the BBC’s Focus on Africa about the Burundian crisis, efforts to get the warring parties back to negotiate and the challenge of political transitions in the continent. (30 January)
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Mary Speck, directrice du projet Mexique et Amérique centrale, rejoint une discussion sur France Culture, énumérant les défis sécuritaires américano-mexicains, notamment en lien avec la « guerre contre la drogue ». (23 janvier)
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“What we see in Chechnya now we may soon see in the whole of Russia. You can’t allow one enclave to exist outside the law. If you let one arm rot, the infection spreads to the whole body”.
Varvara Pakhomenko, Europe & Central Asia Analyst, The New Yorker, 8 February edition
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“[Limited military intervention] could have a positive impact in at least limiting the growth of IS in Libya, depleting its resources and making it more difficult to continue its current attempts to seize and/or destroy oil facilities east of Sirte. A larger scale intervention, however, could also have more uncertain consequences”.
Issandr El Amrani, North Africa Project Director, AFP, 2 February
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“Our main concern now is what happens on the ground [in Burundi]. There were high hopes among opposition groups that the [African Union] force would be coming in”.
Comfort Ero, Africa Program Director, Financial Times, 31 January
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“[Las declaraciones recientes de varios países y de la ONU contra Israel] reflejan la combinación de la impaciencia internacional y la limitada habilidad política para hacer avanzar a las partes hacia la resolución del conflicto [israelí-palestino]”.
Ofer Zalzberg, analista principal para Israel y Palestina, El Diario, 29 de enero
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“It’s problematic to refer to any [Syrian] cease-fires we have seen thus far as a model; they reward collective punishment, the bombarding or starving of communities into submission”.
Noah Bonsey, Senior Syria Analyst, Foreign Policy, 29 January
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Crisis Group is Currently Seeking Candidates for the Following Positions:
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To keep updated on open positions, join our LinkedIn group Crisis Group Careers.
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Brussels
Nadja Nolting
@NadjaLeoni
+32 (0) 2 536 00 71
Send an email to Crisis Group’s Media Unit.
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