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catebakos.com.au
catebakos.com.au

Happy New Financial Year!

The end of F14/15 and the start of F15/16 marks some changes in the real estate industry. From strong investment lending restrictions, to increased Foreign Buyer duties, our market is challenged by low-interest-rate-fuelled buying power, but it could also be dampened by some of these enforced changes.

What hasn't yet been tampered with is SMSF borrowing, first home buyer stamp duty concessions, and negative gearing. And we doubt that these three will be touched in the near future.

Some are genuine concerns, while others remain media hype.
So how do we distill the reports and decipher possibility from probability?


Last month we discussed some of the Lending changes and the effects on investor-borrowings. While we anticipate some of these changes will wash through and dampen certain categories of the market, it's fair to say that it's still early days. Combined with the supply and demand imbalance we face during winter months (in relation to stock shortage and relative numbers of buyers per sale-property), our market is still very strongly tilted towards a Seller's market. A recent Spotlight article focused on this Winter stock shortage and the need for buyers to put seasonal fluctuation into perspective.

Media reports are confusing buyers and investors on a daily basis. The B-word features in the papers daily, while record-breaking sales figures and continually climbing capital growth data challenge those who claim that the market can't get any stronger. We disagree with the 'bubble' sentiment and Amy's recent contribution to this article about the Melbourne and Sydney market speculation is testament to our scrutiny of doomsayer claims.

While buyers need to be mindful of understanding their comparable sales values, adhering to the plan (and not emotionally over-extending), and calculating the cashflow shortfall that the purchase could create - they also need to temper their caution with pragmatism.

Timing the market is one thing - but time in the market is what every investor should focus on. Property can't be a short-term, get-rich-quick venture. 

We absolutely endorse a "buy and hold" strategy wherever possible - and we pay particular attention to cashflow, rental potential, vacancy rates and the selection of properties tailored to every purchaser's needs. One size does NOT fit all.

So for those who read conflicting media reports and feel confused about the status of our property cycle and the chance of a downturn; we encourage you to understand what it is that is driving our market growth, all threats to that driver, and how you can protect yourself as much as possible from risk. From buying in tight vacancy rate areas, fixing interest rates, maintaining tenancy agreements, to having the right insurances in place; risk-mitigating options do exist. 

This month, Cate's interview with Kevin Turner focused on off-market opportunities and how buyers can purchase at or below market rate.

Cate's article on Why Some Properties Don't Pass the Valuation Test featured on Smart Property Online this month and is particularly poignant for those who have found themselves considering risky investments with potentially high returns or unusual opportunity.

Amy's published article focused on Bargain Properties and why some bargains are not great opportunities after all.... a fantastic read for anyone who finds it hard to discern value from 'cheap'.

My favourite interview of the month was a call to reflect on some of my favourite historical "Property Predictions Which Never Came True." So in keeping with our theme, enjoy this read - and remember that applying caution is important, but so is taking action. Fear makes for a great story, always.
 
The three case studies below are just some of our favourite June acquisitions for our clients. From sea-change buyers, off-market deals to post-auction pounces, we've had an exciting end-of-financial-year month.
Two lovely clients decided upon Geelong as their future home; with possibilities for work and a great beachside lifestyle in our state's second largest city... they decided to capitalise on the buying conditions this exciting city offers. Amy snapped up this beautiful home under the hammer.
A couple who moved interstate for work to Melbourne were referred to us for some assistance with their search. Facing time-pressure and a strong market, they sought our support to navigate through this quirky Melbourne market. This incredible home in Elwood was a stand-out buy.
This particular block represented three off-market opportunities over a five month period thanks to a great agent relationship in Melbourne's inner north. Our client was able to snap up a great asset in this great block of eight townhouses. A gross rental yield of 4.3% is a standout result.
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