Geopolitical Risk + Opportunity: The Weekly Track
Welcome to Oxbow's Geopolitical Tracker what you need to know about geopolitics and its impact on global markets. Oxbow Advisory curates the most important news and content on geopolitical risk + opportunity across APAC, EMEA, and the US-Americas.
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Jamian Ronca Spadavecchia
Curation | Edits | Commentary
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WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
EMEA Wednesdays - October 5, 2016
GLOBAL RISK
The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017 The Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017 assesses the competitiveness landscape of 138 economies, providing insight into the drivers of their productivity and prosperity.
-World Economic Forum
1. Switzerland
2. Singapore
3. United States
4. Netherlands
5. Germany
6. Sweden
7. United Kingdom
8. Japan
9. Hong Kong
10.Finland
Memo from top IMF economists to world leaders: You are not out of economic ammo (yet) -Brookings
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EVENT WATCH
GPL || Global Policy Link
Luncheon
Election 2016 Preview = October 7th
www.gpl.global
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EMEA || EUROPE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA RISK
EUROPE
Managing a Multipolar Europe And the EU is divided on how to deal with its two disgruntled neighbors, Russia and Turkey, both of which feel increasingly snubbed by the West. -Project Syndicate
Paris climate deal: EU backs landmark agreement The European Parliament has backed the ratification of the Paris climate deal, paving the way for the world's first global agreement. -BBC
Britain, Mark Your Calendars Prime Minister Theresa May says the two-year process to leave the European Union will begin in March. -The Atlantic
Hungary’s anti-migrant vote A refugee referendum is mostly about showing Brussels who is boss -The Economist
RUSSIA
Putin's Ultimatum to the Next U.S. President The next U.S. administration will inherit the worst relationship with Russia since Ronald Reagan called the Soviet Union an evil empire. -Bloomberg View
THE MIDDLE EAST
Turkey purges 13,000 police officers over failed coup Turkey has suspended almost 13,000 police officers for their alleged links with the US-based Muslim cleric -BBC
Washington Post Reporter Jason Rezaian Files Lawsuit Against Iran Washington Post reporter Jason Rezaian sued the Iranian government on Monday, charging that he was taken hostage and psychologically tortured during his year and a half in prison for political purposes. -The Washington Free Beacon
Germany's economy minister woos Tehran on trade visit Germany's Sigmar Gabriel has said that Berlin wants to help Iran regain its economic footing. But he warned that patience was needed in view of the country's long political isolation. -DW
Aleppo: The Capital of Western Indifference Syrians endure one of the war's most violent phases yet. -The Atlantic
Syria conflict: Russia sends missile system to Tartus base Russia has confirmed it has sent an S-300 air defence missile system to its naval base in Syria's port of Tartus. -BBC
Perhaps, not total indifference @oxbowgeopolitix
AFRICA
Why South Sudan is still at war Despite a peace agreement in August 2015, the strife was never really extinguished. -The Economist
DR Congo's Kabila says presidential vote may be postponed Congo has not had a peaceful transition of power since independence from Belgium in 1960. Protests over Kabila’s perceived attempts to extend his 15 years in power have led to clashes with security forces several times in the past year. -France24
EMEA || GLOBAL MARKETS IMPACT + OPPORTUNITY
GLOBAL BUSINESS
Apple, Brussels, and Ireland’s Bruised Sovereignty Despite their unequivocal Europeanism, the Irish have been serially mistreated by the European Union. -Project Syndicate
What Should and Shouldn't Worry Us About Deutsche Bank
-Bloomberg View
German taxman goes after foreign banks German state prosecutors are investigating nearly 60 foreign banks for "abetting tax evasion," a newspaper report has said. Self-declaring former tax-evaders are proving a particularly valuable source of information. -DW
Globalization: A Pickle's Tale The economic journey of a humble German vegetable, from the Berlin Wall to TTIP -The Atlantic
French govt buys fast trains for slow tracks to save historic Alstom plant France’s Socialist government has announced orders for 15 high-speed trains, mostly for tracks on which they cannot run at their maximum speed, in a pre-election bid to preserve jobs at a historic Alstom plant. -France24
Just bought a goldfish for my bicycle >> industrial policy usually doesn’t turn out well @oxbowadvisory
GLOBAL MACRO
IMF warns of hit to UK economic growth Although the IMF raised its prediction for UK GDP growth this year to 1.8%, the figure for 2017 was cut to 1.1%. -BBC
British pound drops to 31-year low on fears of ‘hard’ Brexit -France24
Renzi’s Gamble Gets Real for Investors as Euro Periphery Splits -Bloomberg
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Global Risk | Global Policy | Global Government Affairs
Oxbow Advisory is a global risk and strategic advisory firm. At Oxbow a one-on-one conversation is integral to our relationship with each client. That conversation begins with the conviction that in a globalized world @ each turn: risk + opportunity wait.
Please do not hesitate to contact us, if you are interested in learning more about how Oxbow's risk advisory services protect and enhance global value creation.
Oxbow Advisory
Washington, DC 20007
www.oxbowadvisory.com
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