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Welcome to the latest installment of the Trident Report!
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"Financial Planning For The Rest of Us"
- Insight, Tips, and Observations -


November 2016

With this crazy election finally and thankfully coming to an end, we look forward to the return of some modicum of normalcy in our current events, whatever that might look like. The holiday season and all of its merchandising is ramping up and now that Halloween has come and gone, we can officially turn our attention to end of year planning.

I remarked in the last edition about the impact I believe the outcome of this election may have on the long-term financial plans of disciplined investors, but based on the questions and comments I'm receiving from interested people I'll repeat my prognosis. The market will continue to fluctuate unpredictably for the foreseeable future, but the election outcome will have virtually no impact on the long-term plans of disciplined investors. 

We'll probably see some sort of emotional reaction to the outcome, such as we witnessed after the Brexit vote over the summer. But the aftermath of Brexit, now removed six months, has been absent the doom-and-gloom that was predicted by pundits and politicians. For more info, see this chart.

In reality, the value of the stock market is more closely correlated to the current and anticipated profitability of publicly traded companies. And as we see energy prices recover and economic signs improve, projections for the future profits of corporations reveal the market is neither expensive nor a bargain.

It seems, without our notice, that we've returned to a fairly normal investing environment. Perhaps it has been thus for some time. As informed investors, we know that short-term volatility is a result of emotional reactions, such as we'll probably see in the next couple of weeks.  But we understand that long-term returns are a result of corporate profits, and as disciplined investors we are rewarded for our diligence and perseverance in turbulent times. 

So enjoy the changing fall colors and the cooler temps. Stay optimistic despite the dismal state of our politics. We still live in the greatest country in the history of humanity. Whatever happens next Tuesday, we as Americans have the means, methods, and potential to solve any problem put before us.

Take care and God Bless,


With sincerity and appreciation,

Brett Walters, CFP®
Principal and Founder
Trident Financial Planning, LLC

For more information, please explore www.tridentfinancialplanning.com. 
 
Trident Blog
Investing is only risky when you misbehave.
 
Every investment involves risk. Every advertisement, fact sheet, or investment commentary created by industry professionals discloses the different forms of risk you can experience through investing, from interest rate risk to market risk to loss of principal. But for average, conservative investors dedicating their investment capital towards a long-term goal, the most destructive risk could be their own behavior. Performance chasing, attempting to time the market, or selling into a panicked market show that most of the biggest mistakes investors make are rooted in how they (mis)behave at critical moments in their investing careers.
 
Commentary
A small dose of pre-election optimism, in the form of a civics lesson...
I'm fascinated with the travesty that has become American politics. Regardless of the result next Tuesday, my optimism for the future of this country is sustained by an understanding and appreciation for the system of government created by our Founding Fathers. This commentary seeks only to explain that optimism, not to endorse one candidate over another. In my mind, neither deserve the privilege we are about to bestow. My advice: observe and bear witness to an historic time. We will be talking about this for decades. 

To read the commentary, click here.
Nick Murray's Client's Corner
November 2016 
"We Don't Remember What a Real Stock Market Mania Feels Like."
This month, Nick reminds us what a real mania was like by revisiting one of the most ludicrous examples of the dot.com bubble, and how to recognize when we've actually reached something similar.
Wesbury 101
Economic Video Commentary
"Rate Hikes Don't Matter"
Brian Wesbury, Chief Economist at First Trust Advisors, L.P., talks about the significance of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates or aim to keep them the same. Wesbury's take on it is that raising the rates by a 1/4 point is irrelevant, because they should already be higher than they currently are and any "tightening" would simply be a move to be less-loose in monetary policy. 
Monthly Financial Tip

Cybersecurity Best Practice - Password Management
I recently attended a discussion on cybersecurity hosted by the local Financial Planning Association chapter to brush up on how to protect the personal information and data of my clients and family. We've all heard the horror stories or even been a victim of the constantly evolving threat we face when we have an online presence. I intend to include simple tips and best practices for cybersecurity that I've learned in future installments of the Trident Report and other communication because of its increasing relevance to personal finance. 

To preface this first edition of cybersecurity best practices section of the Trident Report, it's important to understand a necessary aspect of security: inconvenience. Running anti-virus or anti-malware programs, passcode screens, firewalls, changing passwords, and dual-factor authentication all take time to perform, but the extra effort works to keep your info secure. In fact, the greater the inconvenience, the more secure you likely are.
 
Password Management

Without saying it aloud, what is your email password? Is it the same as your online banking or credit card password? Does it include your last name, year of birth, pet's name, maiden or family name, or any other tidbit of personal info readily available on your social media feed? Have you accessed any account that uses that password on a public wifi network like Starbucks or the airport? If you said yes to any of these questions, you may want to keep reading. 
 
Password Best Practices #1:
Subscribe to a password management application or program. 

Most posts about password management start with the need for creating strong, unique passwords using a combination of numbers, capital and lower-case letters, and symbols. However, with a good password management app, such as LastPass or KeePass, that activity becomes slightly irrelevant because the program will generate a random combination of characters for your password and then populate the password field on any website you have saved in the program. You can save a unique, random password for each site, making them virtually unhackable by password exploitation.

Though this is not an endorsement, I use LastPass for my personal and business systems. It's relatively inexpensive, and not without its inconveniences and glitches, but it's just another layer of security between my stuff and the bad guys. The only password I need to remember is to access the password "Vault," which has every user name, password, and answer to any security questions for any website I have saved. Currently, that number is almost 100 unique sites that have a unique password. 
 
Password Best Practices #2:
Turn on Dual-Factor Authentication whenever possible.

Dual-factor authentication is a fancy way of saying, "I've entered in my password, now please use another method of authentication to make sure it's really me trying to log into my account." If an option, have them send you a text message with a code you must enter within a certain time frame. If you use certain Apple products, you can even authenticate your account using your thumbprint. Unless the hacker has your phone or chops off your thumb, this step makes it much more difficult to access your accounts even if they have your password.
 
Password Best Practices #3:
For the passwords you must remember, add a space.

For the time being, you'll always have to remember at least two passwords: one to log into your computer and another to log into your password management program. For these, follow the best practices for having a strong password: at least 10 characters long; include capitalized and lower-case letters; and use both numbers and symbols.

Make your passwords complex, but easy to remember, by including data relevant to your life in a slightly altered format. If you insist on using the year of your birth, simply hold down the Shift-Key while you type it. For example, 1975 becomes !(&% and 1984 becomes !(*$. If your child's birthday is June 9, 2015, that becomes ^(@)!%. 

I'll add one other modifier: add a spacebar or two to separate characters. Your computer recognizes the spacebar as another character, and it's pretty easy to remember if you use it correctly. In fact, it's exponentially more difficult to hack a 10 character password with two spacebar characters than the exact same password without the spacebars that's 8 characters long. 

As an example, if I were to create a simple and complex password that's easy to remember, I could use my child's name and date of birth: Kingston 6/9/2015 could be "Kingston ^ ( 2015" and satisfy all requirements of being a simple, complex, yet easy to remember password. A spacebar character can make a relatively strong password relatively easy to remember.

Disclosure: the above reference is for example purposes only. Please do not be so lazy as to use your child's name and date of birth in your password, ever. Use terms and words a cursory review of your Facebook profile would not reveal.
 
In conclusion, is it inconvenient to go through these steps every time you need to access something on your computer? You betcha. But that's the reality we accept as we conduct our lives in the online world. To be sure, this is not designed to be a complete and comprehensive guide to cybersecurity prevention, only to provide some basic best practices for creating, storing, and remembering password information.

 
Monthly Pearl of Wisdom
"Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar haircut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair."
—Sam Ewing

"Navigating Your Advisory Firm Through All Stages of Life"
Morey Stettner, 9/23/2016

Available here. 
"5 tips to detox from summer spending"

Melanie Lockert, 10/6/2016

Available here.
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Copyright © 2016 *Trident Financial Planning, LLC, All rights reserved.


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Trident Financial Planning, LLC is a Colorado domiciled Registered Investment Advisor.
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