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News & Notes from Good Judgment Open
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News and Notes from Good Judgment Open

US Election Edition
America Decides, GJ Open Forecasts



Time is running out to update your forecasts on 23 Monkey Cage US Election Challenge questions that will close next week. 

Who will win the presidency? 
Which party will control the Senate? 
Will an independent or third party candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote?

Make your forecasts now, and check GJ Open next week to find your scores and discuss the results of the election.
Is Donald Trump "Mr. Brexit"?


Gage Skidmore via Flickr
 
The UK shocked many forecasters when it voted to leave the European Union in June. Donald Trump hopes to similarly upset the forecasting consensus in this year's presidential election. But do GJ Open forecasters who predicted a victory for Leave or for Remain agree about his chances on Tuesday? 

Find out at our Superforecasting in Action blog.
Which Way Will the Swing States Swing?



It's all about the Electoral College. What does your map look like? Forecast which candidate will win each of 7 key swing states, including Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
This week's most popular Election Challenge questions:
1. Who will win the 2016 US presidential election?
2. Will the winner of the 2016 presidential election win the popular vote by 10 or more percentage points?
4. (Conditional) If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, which party will win the U.S. presidential election?
Which questions are you keeping a close eye on this week? Let us know on Twitter and Facebook.
Good Judgment Inc
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New York, NY 10169

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