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All the latest news in music, tech and apps: 11/01/2018
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The Digest 11/01/2018

Hello all - 

There had already been speculation that Spotify were likely to see shares drop once its latest earnings were announced, and sure enough that has come to pass. What I found rather odd here is the contrasting responses by Wall Street to Spotify and Facebook. The former reported solid growth rates with revenue up 31% and MAUs up 28%, but that still saw shares drop to a new low, albeit before rebounding a little. 

Facebook, on the other hand, reported growth that fell short of Wall St estimates along with a flatlining of growth in North America and a loss of 1m users in Europe. Despite all this, shares rose 2% immediately after the announcement, though TechCrunch reports that since then there has been some volatility. Perhaps one consideration is also that Facebook has taken a serious dive in recent months, down from a high of $217 to a low of $142 only a few days ago. Ergo, whilst shares have risen, in reality at around $151 at close of business yesterday, it is still far from any adequate recovery. 

Perhaps this just boils down to simpler facts - specifically that Facebook is profitable and Spotify is not, and this is something it still needs to prove it is capable of delivering. 


Have a great evening, 

D.  

Contents:

Spotify (SPOT) Stock Down in Pre-Market Trading After 4Q Forecast

Spotify Technology SA investors aren’t singing along to the company’s lackluster forecast. Shares of the Stockholm-based firm fell 9 percent in early trading in New York after an in-line earnings report and a reiterated forecast for fourth-quarter revenue that fell short of Wall Street estimates. Spotify also cut the high end of its forecast for growth in monthly active users and premium subscribers in the fourth quarter, and lowered its expectations on gross margin by 50 basis points due to its new Google Home partnership.
 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-01/spotify-tumbles-after-forecast-miss-makes-investors-adjust-tune
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Spotify subscriber growth slows as paying customer base hits 87m

Spotify has revealed its latest paying subscriber numbers as part of its Q3 2018 earnings announcement. The company ended September with a global subscriber base of 87m people, it has confirmed. That represented a climb of 4m on the 83m subscribers the service had three months earlier, at the end of June. The new figure represents a slowdown in growth velocity despite some aggressive recent price promotions, including the giveaway of 60 days of Premium access for free in territories including the US, as well as Australia and the UK.
 
https://www.musicbusinessworldwide.com/spotify-subscriber-growth-slows-as-paying-customer-base-hits/
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Spotify is on an original content talent recruitment drive

Spotify needs to secure more high profile talent if it wants to compete with Apple Music’s original Beats 1 programming, hosted by everyone from Lars Ulrich, to Mike D and Elton John, and if it wants to calm the nerves of investors who have been watching its stock plummet over the last few months. Bringing in experienced, talented execs to negotiate and market new original content could be the answer.
 
https://www.musicbusinessworldwide.com/spotify-is-on-an-original-content-talent-recruitment-drive/
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Guess Who’s The Leading Headphone Brand?

MIDiA has just published a new report exploring this marketplace and one of the key findings may surprise you: Apple is the market leader in headphone ownership. Just as Apple stole Sony’s leading position in portable audio players, it is now doing the same with headphones. When its three headphone brand categories are combined (EarPods, AirPods, Beats – an Apple company) Apple has the leading market share in headphone ownership with 24%. Sony is second with 22%, followed by fellow traditional CE stalwarts Panasonic and Bose. The top four corporate-level headphone brands represent 61% of the total, illustrating just how fragmented the rest of the market is, with countless brands competing for share.
 
https://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2018/11/01/guess-whos-the-leading-headphone-brand/
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Facebook shares climb despite Q3 user growth and revenue

But the real growth story depends on its core US/Canada and Europe markets where Facebook saw zero growth and lost 1 million monthly users respectively last quarter. In Q3, Facebook added 1 million monthly users to reach 242 million in the US/Canada region, but held flat at 185 million dailies there. It lost 1 million users in Europe in both dailies and monthlies. Those markets make up over 70 percent of its revenue, which is why the slow growth and shrinkage is scaring Wall Street.
 
https://techcrunch.com/2018/10/30/facebook-earnings-q3-2018/
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What's the value of a song when Artificial Intelligence is everywhere?

The value of a piece of clothing or artwork is only quantifiable by the consumer; if they want to see it or take people to see it, if they want to wear it. As AI becomes as normal to us as the drum machine and vocoder, as photos and film, we may change our answer. We may be happy to spend a few bucks on a machine’s idea, if it might pay our bills for a month, when developed into a hit. We have come to a new age of reckoning with machines in art. It’s a time that may completely reframe our understanding of artistry and value.
 
https://www.musicbusinessworldwide.com/whats-the-value-of-a-song-when-artificial-intelligence-is-everywhere/
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YouTube's Lyor Cohen Warns Article 13 Will Have 'Severe Unintended Consequences' For Music Biz

"Let me be clear: we understand and support the intent of Article 13. We need effective ways for copyright holders to protect their content. But we believe that the current proposal will create severe unintended consequences for the whole industry," warns Cohen. "The music industry should really pay attention to these unintended consequences -- the system that  largely contributes to their success is at risk of major change in the European Union," he states.
 
https://www.billboard.com/articles/business/8481550/youtube-lyor-cohen-article-13-copyright-directive-google-europe
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Twitch doesn’t need to be YouTube

And Twitch continues to evolve. This weekend, the company announced a variety of upcoming features, including karaoke, better moderation tools, and additional ways for streamers to collaborate and be seen by viewers. Shear said that throughout all of Twitch’s changes, the core of its business is not just about passive consumption, but interactivity. “We love stories. Not the ones that already have an end, but the stories that we can all tell together,” he said. “I don’t think we’re interested in being talked at. We are here for a conversation.”
 
https://www.theverge.com/2018/10/30/18032716/twitch-twitchcon-2018-ceo-emmett-shear-youtube-streaming
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