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New and exciting research from scholars in the Tobin Project network.
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Government & Markets


Presidentially Directed Policy Change: The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs as Partisan or Moderator?

How do presidents’ politics affect regulatory rulemaking? In this article, Simon F. Haeder and Susan Webb Yackee cross-reference approximately 1,500 final-stage executive branch regulations with an index of the partisanship of federal agencies derived from a survey of government employees. Focusing on the Bush II and Obama presidencies, the authors examine which agencies’ rules were most likely to be significantly changed by the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA). In particular, they test the hypotheses that the White House may be more likely to change rules proposed by agencies with “extreme” politics or politics that oppose the president in power. Haeder and Yackee find support for neither theory. Instead, they determine that White Houses of both parties tend to change rules proposed by the most liberal agencies, suggesting that the OIRA review process may be a tool for presidentially directed deregulation.
[Read the paper]



Behavioral Insights in Consultation Design: A Dialogical Architecture

In this paper, Fabrizio Cafaggi and Giacomo Sillari draw on lessons from behavioral research to suggest ways that regulatory consultation processes—such as public notice and comment—could better contribute to regulation in the public interest. Whereas previous work on the implications of behavioral research for administrative law has largely focused on the application of regulations, Cafaggi and Sillari instead explore the consequences of this research for drafting regulations. For instance, stakeholders’ ability to estimate the likelihood of low-probability events, such as incidents that harm workers’ health or safety, may affect how they assess the risks of such events and the costs of regulations that seek to prevent them. Cafaggi and Sillari model different ways that regulators can seek public comment from stakeholders in the rulemaking process, altering the number of discussion rounds and the visibility of comments to other stakeholders. They also use game theory to analyze which procedures are most likely to promote dialogue or elicit useful information for regulators. The authors conclude by emphasizing the value in broadening findings about the limits of human rationality to include not just the regulated, but the regulators as well.
[Read the paper]


The Financialization of Policy Preferences: Financial Asset Ownership, Regulation, and Crisis Management

Does investing pension dollars more closely align workers’ preferences with the interests of the financial industry? In this paper, Stefano Pagliari, Lauren M. Phillips, and Kevin L. Young examine the relationship between financial asset ownership and support for two sets of policies enacted in the wake of the 2008 crisis: financial sector reforms outlined in the Dodd-Frank Act and bank bailouts facilitated by the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Drawing on data that tracked individuals’ financial investments and their attitudes on financial regulation over time, the authors find that financial asset ownership is associated with higher support for the bank bailouts and lower support for more robust government oversight of the financial industry. However, the authors’ analysis indicates that this effect is modest and more strongly observed among high-income households, suggesting that increased financialization has yet to significantly disrupt traditional divides in public opinion on economic policies.
[Read the paper]
 Government & Markets
 Institutions of Democracy
 Economic Inequality
 National Security

 
Do you have any new work you would like to share with the network? Let us know!


Tobin Project News


Tobin Announces Winners of the 2018 Inequality Prize

The Tobin Project is pleased to announce that the 2018 Prize on Inequality and Decision Making has been awarded to Orestes P. Hastings (Colorado State University) and Daniel Schneider (University of California, Berkeley) for their paper with Joe LaBriola on “Income Inequality and Class Divides in Parental Investments.” A summary of their winning research can be found in this newsletter, and you can read more about the prize on our website. The Tobin Project is grateful to all the scholars who submitted papers for consideration for the prize and to our incredible selection committee of Nancy Adler (University of California, San Francisco), Marianne Bertrand (The University of Chicago Booth School of Business), and Christopher Jencks (Harvard Kennedy School) for their service.


Request for Proposals: Cultural Influences in Regulatory Capture

The Social Science Research Council’s (SSRC) Scholarly Borderlands Initiative, in collaboration with the
Tobin Project, seeks graduate student grant proposals for short-term, ethnographic research on how cultural factors may contribute to regulatory capture. More information about the application process can be found here. Any questions should be directed to scholarlyborderlands@ssrc.org.



Tobin Convenes Scholars for When Democracy Breaks

On September 6th, the Tobin Project gathered ten scholars for the first meeting of our research inquiry on When Democracy Breaks. This project seeks to explore past cases of democratic collapse and identify the factors that led to decline, with the goal of better understanding why democracies fail and how we can sustain a robust democracy over time. We look forward to convening additional discussions around this topic and working to publish this research.


Scholars Share Research on Reassessing Threat Assessment

On August 28th and 29th, the Tobin Project’s National Security initiative held a meeting as part of our continuing work on Reassessing Threat Assessment, which seeks to build understanding of the practices and processes that yield accurate and reliable assessments of national security risks facing the United States. In the coming months, we plan to work with the contributors and scholar-leaders to finalize and submit for publication the research prepared for this inquiry.


Tobin Holds Meeting on the Antimonopoly Tradition and American Democracy

On July 18th, the Tobin Project convened eleven scholars for a meeting on the role of the antimonopoly tradition in American democracy. Amid growing interest regarding the emergence of new monopolies and their implications for democracy, attendees considered potential avenues for research that could deepen public understanding of how economic concentration and government regulation thereof have shaped democratic outcomes throughout American history.
 


 Institutions of Democracy


Birthright Citizens: A History of Race and Rights in Antebellum America

In her recent book, Martha Jones examines the efforts of black Americans to define their legal status in the antebellum United States. Jones writes that the citizenship and rights of free slaves and their descendants remained contested in American politics throughout the nineteenth century. Legal histories have tended to emphasize the roles of major treatises, high court decisions, and the ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment in establishing citizenship. Jones argues that these studies largely overlook the crucial work of black Americans, who found ways to assert their citizenship well before any judicial or legislative consensus formally granted it to them. Focusing on Baltimore during the antebellum period, she documents how the city’s free black community used local courts to claim birthright citizenship and resist black laws and the threat of forced removal. Jones suggests this activism might represent an important democratic practice by which people without rights manage to claim them.
[Read the book]
 

  Economic Inequality

 

Income Inequality and Class Divides in Parental Investment

How does rising income inequality reduce intergenerational mobility? Using data from the Consumer Expenditure Study between 1980 and 2014, Daniel Schneider, Orestes P. Hastings, and Joe LaBriola find that increased income inequality at the state level leads wealthy parents to spend not just more money, but also a larger share of their income on lessons, schooling, and childcare. The authors hypothesize that inequality heightens anxiety among high-socioeconomic status parents, resulting in larger class gaps in financial investments in children. Since parental investment transmits advantage across generations, this paper contributes to the growing body of research indicating a negative relationship between rising inequality and intergenerational mobility.

This paper was selected for Tobin’s 2018 Prize for Exemplary Work on Inequality and Decision Making.

[Read the paper]
 

  National Security


Markets or Mercantilism? How China Secures its Energy Supplies

China’s efforts to secure access to oil have been critiqued as unnecessary, hostile, and less efficient than procuring oil from global markets. In their new article, Jennifer Lind and Daryl G. Press argue instead that a clear strategic logic underpins China’s “energy mercantilist” approach. China, the authors suggest, is vulnerable to blockades, embargoes, and potential adversaries that use oil as a tool of coercion. It has effectively reduced this vulnerability by increasing its control over suppliers of oil, diversifying its oil sources, building a strategic oil reserve, and improving its capability to protect sea lanes and overland oil pipelines. This approach leads Lind and Press to conclude that the United States has lost some coercive leverage over Beijing, revealing the enduring influence of mercantilism in the global market.
[Read the paper]
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