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Building capacity to help Africa trade better
tralac - trade law centre

Discussion


The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Willemien Viljoen, tralac Researcher, discusses how the AfCFTA can contribute towards the realisation of the United Nations’ post-2015 sustainable development goals

In September 2015, the 17 SDGs of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development were adopted by world leaders. The overarching rationale for the SDGs is to eradicate poverty, protect the planet and end inequality. Included in the 17 SDGs are the eradication of poverty through inclusive economic growth that provides sustainable jobs and promote equality; infrastructure investment, sustainable industrial development and technological progress; and food security and sustainable agriculture.

To achieve the SDGs, 169 specific targets have been set to be reached by 2030. These include investment in rural infrastructure and agricultural extension services; the prevention of restrictions and distortions in agricultural markets and timely access to market information; access to information and communication technology; integrating small-scale industries into value chains and markets; access to affordable essential medicines and vaccines; and access to education, water and sanitation, financial and reliable energy services.

The objectives of the AfCFTA include the creation of a single continental market for goods and services with the free movement of business persons and investment, the expansion of intra-Africa trade and the improvement of the competitiveness of industries and enterprises. To achieve these objectives the AfCFTA is not just focused on liberalisation of trade in goods, but also services liberalisation, trade facilitation, addressing non-tariff barriers to improve access to markets, competition policy, intellectual property rights and possibly e-commerce. If these objectives can be achieved the AfCFTA can make a valuable contribution to African countries’ progress on the SDGs.

The AfCFTA can contribute to the SDGs through:

Improved intra-Africa goods trade

An important aim of the AfCFTA is to facilitate intra-African goods trade by making cross-border trade easier, simpler and less costly. Trade facilitation measures to address non-tariff barriers, like delays at borders, inefficient customs documentation, lack of timely information on health certification and standards and inconsistencies in transit traffic requirements can allow for the easier flow of goods through the region. These trade facilitation measures can only be successful if coupled with investment in infrastructure; both hard infrastructure like upgrading of border posts, roads, rail and Information and Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure and soft infrastructure such as policy and regulation to support the competitive access to the infrastructure services.

Enlarging the African market by making it easier and more cost effective to trade inter-continentally can attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for national and regional infrastructure projects. Infrastructure investment enhancing regional connectivity, in turn, stimulates market demand for African products which are more easily accessible. With improved access to inputs into the manufacturing process, markets and public infrastructure, producers including small and medium sized enterprises can improve competitiveness and production capacity. If intra-Africa and cross-border trade becomes easier and less costly the AfCFTA creates the opportunity to establish regional value chains and promote industrial development, but also affords benefits for small-scale producers and informal cross-border traders. Increased intra-Africa trade can have numerous knock-on effects which can be linked with the targets for the SDGs, including poverty alleviation, food security and addressing inequality through industrial development and the flow of benefits to small-scale producers and informal cross-border traders due to improved access to inputs, infrastructure, information and markets.

Services liberalisation and the movement of business persons

There is significant focus on access to services in the targets of the SDGs and the AfCFTA can play a significant role to facilitate the flow of services on the continent. Liberalising services trade and synchronising services trade regulations can have an immense impact on the majority of the SDGs. Services trade and the movement of business persons also have a direct link to industrial and infrastructure development. The movement of business persons facilitates the transfer of knowledge and know-how and trade-related services including agriculture extension services and energy, ICT, financial, education, health and professional services are vital for sustainable economic growth but often lacking in African economies. Through improved access to services the AfCFTA can make a cross-cutting contribution to the SDGs. Services trade can have a direct impact on sustainable economic growth, improving the health and education of the working population and youth; access to finance for agriculture, small-scale producers and entrepreneurs; and efficient infrastructure-related services to improve the functioning of the economy.

Competition policy, intellectual property and e-commerce

The second phase of the AfCFTA negotiations addresses key policy issues that can lead to a fair playing field in African economies. Intellectual property governance is important for example for the development of pharmaceutical production capacity and access to medicines on the continent; an important element for the provision of health services. E-commerce and increased connectivity can be of significant benefit to small-scale producers and entrepreneurs to reach markets otherwise unattainable.

The AfCFTA will serve to integrate the markets and economies of 55 countries, all at different stages of development. Progressive liberalisation can give least developed countries the necessary time to build productive capacity and diversity from trade in commodities to ensure long-term sustainable economic growth, employment creation and poverty alleviation.

Read this Discussion and its sources on tralac’s website...

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Are Trade Remedies important for achieving the AfCFTA Goals?

Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate, comments on trade remedies in the African Continental Free Trade Area

Trade remedies (TR) are trade policy tools used by governments to take remedial action against imports which cause injury to domestic industries. TR consist of anti-dumping (AD), countervailing and safeguard measures.

TR do not feature in intra-African trade. Most African Governments do not have the required domestic arrangements to undertake TR investigations. They claim that these investigations are cumbersome, not a priority, or that they lack the technical capacity and resources. The consequence is that domestic industries are not protected in a rules-based manner. However, REC Member States (MS) often take unilateral action in violation of their obligations. Recent practices, for example, in Zimbabwe (imposing surcharges on imported goods in violation of COMESA and SADC trade rules) serve as an example of how regional trade arrangements are then undermined. This becomes worse when combined with the absence of effective inter-State dispute settlement mechanisms. Could this change under the AfCFTA?

The AfCFTA State Parties have agreed to allow anti-dumping, countervailing and safeguard measures. (As provided for in Annex 9 to the AfCFTA Protocol on Trade in Goods and the CFTA Guidelines on the Implementation of Trade Remedies in accordance with the relevant WTO Agreements.) Preferential Safeguards may be imposed on goods traded under the AfCFTA Agreement. The Parties shall cooperate with each other in TR investigations.

What benefits do TR bring? AD measures provide protection against dumped imports. Dumping involves the selling of goods below their “normal value”. When dumping causes or threatens to cause material injury to a domestic industry, AD duties may be imposed. (AD rules regulate anti-dumping measures, not the practice of dumping.) A domestic Investigating Authority must undertake a proper investigation prior to the adoption of anti-dumping measures. This procedure must be transparent and fair. Affected firms must be allowed to request local courts to review AD measures.

The WTO’s Subsidies Agreement disciplines the use of subsidies. A MS may remedy the trade effects of a subsidy through dispute-settlement procedures and seek the withdrawal of the subsidy or the removal of its adverse effects. Alternatively, a MS may unilaterally launch its own investigation and impose an extra duty (“countervailing duty”) on subsidized imports to offset the injury to domestic producers, or affected industries may lodge an application for the initiation of a countervailing investigation.

Safeguard action is “emergency action” and may be taken where a surge of imports causes or threatens to cause serious injury to domestic industries. Safeguard action may involve the restriction of imports of a product temporarily to help the domestic industry to adjust. A prior investigated must be undertaken. Safeguards usually consist of an extra duty, or a quota.

The AfCFTA regime on TR will co-exist with those of the RECs. REC agreements also contain provisions on trade remedies. Exactly how the different trade legal regimes will coexist depends on the application of the relevant TR rules for specific goods traded between the Parties. Overlapping and uncoordinated TR could, if actively applied, become trade barriers. The fact that this has not yet happened is a consequence of the non-application of TR in Africa; not the smooth coordination of different regimes.

The biggest problem regarding the protection of domestic industries against unfair trade practices and import surges is the non-availability of domestic Investigating Authorities. If they are serious about TR, the AfCFTA MS will have to develop national legislative and institutional frameworks on TR. Only a few AfCFTA Members already have the necessary domestic machinery in place. (Only Egypt and south Africa are active TR users.) The CFTA Agreement must be complemented by properly aligned domestic arrangements to implement TR. There should be legal certainty at all levels. Domestic TR institutions can, of course, undertake regional as well as global TR investigations.

The law of the land will also have to be developed and be reformed where necessary. TR measures are reviewable (as part of the due process requirement). National courts will undertake these reviews. Affected private parties will thus be able to apply for the national courts to set aside trade remedy measures imposed in an unlawful manner.

There can also be inter-state disputes about TR measures. (Most of the disputes decided under the dispute settlement system of the WTO are about TR issues.) The frequency of these international disputes is a consequence of the fact that TR measures are not discretionary or arbitrary in nature. They are exceptional measures and they are conditional. The applicable rules must be respected. Questions about compliance with the applicable rules and the procedures are justiciable.

The need in FTAs to counter unfair firm behaviour may, to a considerable degree, also be accommodated via competition rules. Competition law is not specifically regulated by the WTO. This makes it “easier” to design an appropriate AfCFTA Competition Agreement.

Read this Discussion and its sources on tralac’s website...

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Africa should not ignore what happened in Buenos Aires*

Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate, discusses why the outcomes of the 11th WTO Ministerial Conference, or lack thereof, matter for Africa

The 11th Ministerial Conference of the WTO in Buenos Aires was a disappointment. The meeting concluded without any new deals and no signs that the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) will be adopted as a multilateral package.

The Results of Buenos Aires

The WTO Members issued four ministerial decisions and adopted several ministerial statements. The former deal with Small Economies, Fisheries Subsidies, Electronic Commerce, andTRIPS Non-Violation and Situation Complaints. These matters have been on the WTO agenda for quite some time, some going back to the 1990s.

The more innovative outcomes of Buenos Aires came in the form of ministerial statements (by subgroups of WTO Members) to tackle new problems. These cover work programmes for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), Investment Facilitation, Fossil Fuel Subsidies Reform, a Joint Ministerial Statement on Services Domestic Regulation, as well as a Joint Statement on Electronic Commerce. For the latter a first meeting is planned for the first quarter of 2018.

These joint ministerial statements, although “plurilateral” in nature, are open to all WTO Members. They may provide the impetus for novel approaches for structuring international economic relations. Eventual outcomes may take the form of sectoral, plurilateral, or perhaps even multilateral agreements. New disciplines could be adopted.

The critical questions will then be about the extent of member participation and about implementation and compliance. The consequences for those nations remaining outside such arrangements are not favourable. 

Why has Consensus in the WTO become so difficult?

When 164 states at different levels of economic development come together in a member-driven arrangement which adopts decisions by consensus, it is increasingly difficult to fuse highly divergent expectations and needs. During the Uruguay Round and after the end of the Cold War, the world was a different place. International political and economic conditions then favoured bold compromises to achieve multilateral governance solutions. The world has moved on since 2001, when the DDA was adopted. China has joined the WTO while the USA, once the leading supporter of multilateralism, has become a sceptic. President Trump puts “America first”.

Should the WTO prove not to be the forum generating new rules for international trade, they will be adopted elsewhere; in regional trade arrangements, through plurilateral agreements, or via domestic regulatory reforms in nation states. This is already happening in areas such as investment, competition and e-commerce.

Africa’s Challenges and Opportunities after Buenos Aires

Africa’s challenges must be addressed irrespective of what the WTO generates in terms of new multilateral disciplines. To wait for the DDA’s adoption as a multilateral agreement is a futile strategy; the world is moving on.

One of the lessons of Buenos Aires is to recognise how hard it has become to adopt new multilateral agreements and to adopt multilateral rules dealing with sophisticated technological advances. Nigeria was the only African country to sign up for the Ministerial Statement on Electronic Commerce adopted in Buenos Aires. Another lesson is about accepting that these new rules will come to apply anyway, in regional and plurilateral formats. African firms will have to adjust, as they have done with regard to technical and safety standards for goods.

The negotiations on the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) offer an opportunity to bring Africa on speed as far as these developments are concerned; if necessary on a variable geometry basis. Variable geometry has already been accepted as one of the guiding principles for both the Tripartite Free Trade Area (TFTA) and the AfCFTA.

Irrespective of whether there will be a transformation of multilateral governance or a “hegemonic withdrawal” any time soon, African policy makers need to remain involved, informed and responsive to the needs of the time. Intra-African trade should be conducted as part of an emerging global order.

* See also the tralac Trade Brief: Why Africa should not ignore what happened in Buenos Aires

Read this Discussion and its sources on tralac’s website...

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Special Features


tralac Annual Conference 2018

The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) – Opportunity for Africa

This year’s tralac Annual Conference takes place on 22-23 March in Kigali, Rwanda, following the Extraordinary Summit of the African Union Assembly on 21 March 2018, at which the African Continental Free Trade Agreement is to be signed. The Conference will provide an opportunity to reflect on, and appraise this important milestone. The AfCFTA will also be considered in a broader global governance context.

The AfCFTA is Africa’s opportunity to fundamentally recalibrate its integration paradigm. To date, the primary preoccupation has been with tariffs and tariff-related issues, while empirical evidence indicates that it is in fact non-tariff barriers that are the primary impediments to integration and competitiveness. The irony is however, that despite the central focus on the import tariff, member states are proving increasingly reluctant to reduce tariffs. And there is also strong resistance in certain quarters to the adoption of simplified rules of origin which are the access key to lower tariffs. This trend is part of a broader shift to more protection and inward looking policy stances, that is evident not only in Africa, but globally.

So what can the AfCFTA contribute to change the trajectory of African integration? The agenda is ambitious; spanning the full range of disciplines governing trade in goods, trade in services, movement of business persons, and also investment, competition and intellectual property matters. It has the makings of a modern trade agreement; which can bring not only the first round benefits of increased intra-regional trade, but more importantly, the dynamic benefits of a larger, integrated economic space, attracting investment and entrepreneurship to expand and diversify the productive foundation of Africa’s economies. Are Africa’s member states seizing this opportunity? Will the AfCFTA assist Africa to build its capacity to produce tradeable goods and services competitively, to reduce the transactions costs of doing business and trading across borders? These are important questions, noting the shift in focus to industrial development in Africa’s regional economic communities.

While supporting intra-Africa trade, the AfCFTA should not become a large import substitution project. It should provide a foundation to support Africa’s effective integration into the global economy; trading on terms that contribute to employment creation in Africa’s economies. Finding an acceptable balance among the 55 member states in the AfCFTA is not easy. Integrating unequal partners will require compromises, especially by the larger economies. We hope that they will make these choices, after all the AfCFTA is a long term collective endeavour and prosperity of neighbours not only offers commercial opportunities, but is essential for regional stability.

The Conference will provide an opportunity to appraise what has been achieved in the negotiations thus far on trade in goods and trade in services, the plans to conclude outstanding negotiating business and then to proceed to the second phase of the negotiations. An important question is whether the potential synergies of simultaneous negotiation of trade in goods and services matters will be achieved. For example, will the import tariffs on goods essential to key infrastructure service sector development (e.g. communication, transport) be reduced in the AfCFTA. What happens after the Summit of 21 March? Signing the agreement is an important signal, but only a first step in the process towards ratification and implementation of a new trade regime. When can firms expect to trade under AfCFTA rules? When will service providers be able to gain access, under the AfCFTA, to new market opportunities in other African member states?

Downloads

Visit the Annual Conference webpage for the latest updates.


Trade data updates

tralac has prepared a series of Trade Data Updates providing a snapshot of South Africa and Africa’s trading relationships with selected African and global trading partners. The aim is to provide an overview of the trade relationship and the major products or sectors being traded. The most recent data analysed for South Africa covers a 10-year period from 2007-2016. Visit the Trade Data Analysis page to find out more and view a selection of tralac Infographics here.

Resources portal

tralac maintains a collection of regional and national trade-related resources including copies of the texts and annexes of regional and bilateral trade agreements; copies of various regional protocols, memoranda of understanding and tariff offers; and copies of national legislation and policy documents for the 55 African Union member states.

Resources can be found in the following regional repositories and via the resources portal:

Can’t find what you’re looking for? Please let us know.
 

tralac user registration

In an effort to improve the monitoring and reporting of tralac’s website traffic, users are now required to register in order to access all tralac Publications and Resource documents. Membership (registration) is free of charge and provides you with full access to all our research material, books, and regional and national resource databases. Your secured profile information provides us with crucial analytical data which will allow us to identify topics of most interest and areas where more attention is warranted, ultimately enhancing the impact of our work.

Should you experience any difficulties with the registration process, please contact info@tralac.org.


Social Media

tralac shares regular updates, news and new publications on Twitter, Facebook and LinkedIn. Please join us! Videos can be viewed on the Trade Law Centre YouTube Channel and photos from events and training can be found on our Flickr page.

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Information on tariff applications, Government Gazette Notices and ITAC Reports

Information on tariff applications, Government Gazette Notices, and ITAC Reports is available following this link --> http://www.itac.org.za/

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Events and Training

 
 
On 6 February, tralac (through tralac Associate Eckart Naumann) joined the Tourism, Trade and Investment Promotion Agency for Cape Town (WESGRO), along with the US embassy, the USAID Trade and Investment Hub (SATIHUB) and the Department of Trade and Industry, in presenting an exporter-focused AGOA seminar at the new Invest SA One Stop Shop in Cape Town’s CBD. Attendance at the seminar was oversubscribed and attracted a diverse range of interested stakeholders. This included representatives from industries such as seafood, textiles and clothing, petrochemicals, wine, furniture, food services, agri-processing, homeware, meat, fruit, among others.
 
The seminar gave participants a broad overview of AGOA, but also focused on many important legislative, political and technical aspects relevant to traders, helping exporters create a clearer picture of the opportunities offered through AGOA. Topics covered included the broader political dimension and experiences during the AGOA renewal process (and the role of South Africa in resolving some of the issues around chicken, beef and pork imports from the US), US law-making, legislative history and future of AGOA (with 7 years to go prior to expiry), product coverage, the applicable US tariff regime for exporters from AGOA beneficiaries, the rules of origin (local processing requirements), the bilateral US-Africa and US-South Africa trade relationship and performance, available online AGOA resources, relevant US food safety standards and requirements (through a presentation by the US Department of Agriculture’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Services APHIS), as well as a presentation on the range of exporter support services offered by USAID’s Southern African Trade and Investment Hub (SATIHUB).    
 
tralac has prepared a 2-page AGOA/South Africa infographic, which can be downloaded here.

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Publications


Trade Brief:  What is COMESA’s Digital Free Trade Area and should SADC have one too?

By Ashly Hope, tralac Research Coordinator (Trade in services & regulation): COMESA announced in November 2017 that its Secretariat had ‘completed the design of the digital free trade area’, and that the COMESA electronic certificate of origin was now ready for piloting. Subsequent news reports have suggested that the digital free trade area (DFTA) would be rolled out in 2018. So, what is a digital free trade area? This trade brief attempts to answer this question, and explores whether this is merely a nice piece of public relations, or whether it will have a real impact in COMESA and if so, should the Southern African Development Community (SADC) become a digital free trade area too? Download this trade brief on tralac’s website...

Trade Brief:  Why Africa should not ignore what happened in Buenos Aires

By Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate: The 11th Ministerial Conference of the WTO, held in Buenos Aires in December 2017, was a disappointment. The meeting concluded without any new deals and no signs that the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) will be adopted as a multilateral package. How serious is the predicament facing multilateralism? What are the implications for Africa? This Trade Brief discusses the outcomes from Buenos Aires, focusing on the four ministerial decisions – on the Work Programme on Small Economies, Fisheries Subsidies, Electronic Commerce, and TRIPS Non-Violation and Situation Complaints – and the challenges and opportunities Africa is now facing. Download this trade brief on tralac’s website...

Trade Brief:  Uncertainty in a Time of Hope: Interpreting the 2018 World Economic Forum Meeting in Davos

By David Christianson, Political Analyst: The themes chosen for the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting at Davos-Klosters, Switzerland are sometimes rather different to the topics the world’s political and economic leaders want to talk about. 2018 was one of those years. The official theme ‘Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World’ speaks to a somewhat apprehensive and negative view of the present. But, with some notable exceptions, the politicians and CEOs gathered in the Swiss Resort chose to express their optimism about global growth and their plans for encouraging more of it. As always, at Davos, the real theme emerged, or was at least uncovered, through the process of the event. Against this benchmark, the South African delegation under newly elected ANC President Cyril Ramaphosa was right on message. Read more and download the trade brief on tralac’s website...

Trade Brief:  When African Trade Arrangements incorporate WTO Disciplines without all Member States being WTO Members

By Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate: The legal instruments underpinning African trade arrangements often incorporate or refer to WTO (and other multilateral) disciplines as part of the obligations undertaken by their Member States. However, in some instances, not all the members have joined the WTO. This Trade Brief takes a look at the effect of WTO rules on non-WTO members of African trade arrangements, a feature of African RECs which has given rise to little discussion or concern to date. This may, however, change rather soon, given developments towards the conclusion of the Tripartite Free Trade Area and Continental FTA. Read more and download the trade brief on tralac’s website...

Working Paper:  Structural Shifts in the Post-Apartheid SA Economy: A Comparative SAM Analysis

By John Stuart, tralac Associate: This paper makes use of a comparative SAM analysis to examine  structural shifts in the real economy of South Africa spanning the period from the mid ’90s to the end of the 2000s. These shifts include the decline of the secondary sector and the rise of the tertiary sector; higher skill labour groups have benefitted whereas lower skilled groups have lost out; leakages have increased through imports, capital outflows and unproductive taxes; the traded sector has seen increasing import penetration and declining export intensity; the economy has become less dynamic; and expenditure multipliers have fallen in net terms. These shifts necessitate a re-evaluation of the effectiveness of trade and industrial policy in South Africa. Read more and download the working paper on tralac’s website...

Trade Brief:  A nervous WTO Ministerial in Buenos Aires

By Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate: The World Trade Organisation’s 11th Ministerial Conference, which was held in Buenos Aires, Argentina from 10-13 December 2017, took place amid many concerns over the global trading system, including how to deal with past divides and how to tackle new challenges. MC11 could not agree on new substantive issues, particularly in Agriculture, although Ministers gave their commitment to continue negotiations related to all remaining issues. This Trade Brief takes a look at the outcomes from Buenos Aires and why meaningful breakthroughs did not happen. Read more and download the trade brief on tralac’s website...

Working Paper:  Women in Services Trade: Participation and Ownership, A Sub-Saharan African Focus

By Gavin van der Nest, tralac Associate: Gender inequalities which manifest themselves in economic transactions, relations, and institutions have an adverse impact on women’s participation in services and restricts the competitiveness of the sector. It also limits the ability of women to benefit from opportunities created by services trade and services sector growth. This paper provides an overview of the participation of women in services in sub-Saharan Africa, highlighting common constraints that women face in services trade as well as ascertaining the importance of economic, educational, health and survival, and political empowerment in the realisation of female participation in ownership, management and full-time employment. Read more and download the working paper on tralac’s website...

Trade Brief:  The First Phase of Brexit has been agreed: What is it about?

By Gerhard Erasmus, tralac Associate: On Friday 8 December, high-level negotiators from the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (UK) and the European Union (EU) reached a last-minute agreement to keep the Brexit negotiations on track. The EU has, from the beginning, insisted that negotiations about future UK-EU trade could only start once an agreement about the Irish border, the payment of the UK’s divorce bill, and the position of EU citizens in the UK has been reached. This has now happened. This Trade Brief discusses the content of the Joint Report on Progress during Phase 1 of the Negotiations and speculates about the negotiations which lie ahead. Read more and download the trade brief on tralac’s website...

Working Paper:  Agricultural production and trade: the four corners of Africa

By Ron Sandrey, tralac Associate: Africa is a vast and diverse continent, but one that is strongly based upon its agricultural foundations. This working paper examines the profiles and performance of African agricultural production since 1961 and export trade since 2001. To assist with this analysis, Africa is divided into four ‘corners’ or regions: the South, East, North, and West.For both production and exports, this paper finds that Africa is a diverse continent, and regionally there are some major differences in each of the ‘corners’. Read more and download the working paper on tralac’s website...

Working Paper:  African trade liberalisation: implications for the clothing sector

By Ron Sandrey, tralac Associate: This working paper examines intra-African clothing trade and the barriers restricting trade in the sector, and assesses the possible implications of continental-wide liberalisation. For the key intra-African clothing exporters (South Africa, Swaziland, Mauritius, Tanzania and Kenya), tariff barriers are significant outside their own regional economic communities (RECs). This, coupled with the low intra-African shares in both imports and exports, suggests that African liberalisation would benefit trade in the sector. Read more and download the working paper on tralac’s website...

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News




tralac’s Daily News Selection – an online African trade and regional integration news and publications digest – is compiled with the assistance of Mr. Richard Humphries (@richardhumphri1) and disseminated to enhance trade policy knowledge and debate. To receive the tralac Daily News Selection notification via email, please subscribe here.
news

2018 Budget Speech: Restoring South Africa’s public finances on a sustainable path

In the current economic climate, spending priorities and the sequencing of programme implementation are subject to a number of trade-offs. The focus of the 2018 Budget has solely been on the reprioritisation of existing baseline funding.

South African Treasury predicts growth pickup as confidence returns

South Africa’s economy is forecast to expand 1.5 percent this year, compared with the previous projection of 1.1 percent and an estimated 1 percent in 2017, National Treasury said in its 2018 Budget Review. Growth will probably accelerate to 2.1 percent in 2020 as measures aimed at creating policy certainty and attracting investment pay off, it said. Africa growth prospects for 2018

After successive downward revisions to growth forecasts which followed the contraction in global demand and the end of the commodity super-cycle – raising yet another spectre of global uncertainty and recession, especially in highly oil-dependent economies, Africa’s economic growth rebounded in the second half of 2016 and strengthened further in 2017.

Kenya embraces the IGAD Regional Protocol on Free Movement of Persons

Kenya’s Cabinet Administrative Secretary in the Ministry of Interior, Hon. Patrick Ole Ntutu launched the National Consultative Workshop towards the development of the Regional Protocol on Free Movement of Persons in Naivasha.

COMESA to introduce seed labels and certificates to boost regional trade

COMESA is set to become the first Regional Economic Community in the world to introduce the use and distribution of seed labels and certificates as a way of improving access to quality seeds in the region.

South African government remains committed to intra-African investment in the African continent

The South African government through Trade Invest Africa (TIA), an Initiative of the Department of Trade and Industry (the dti), remains committed to the agenda of intra-African investment. Head of TIA, Ms Lerato Mataboge, was speaking during a high-level networking session at the annual Africa Energy Indaba Conference.

The growing importance of gas in the Africa energy mix

The 3rd Africa Gas Forum took place on Monday, 19th February 2018 at the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg, South Africa. Africa’s oil and gas potential will grow significantly over the next two decades, driven by population growth, urbanization and the emergence of a wealthier middle class on the continent. 

Trade Policy Review: Egypt

Egypt’s real GDP expanded at an annual average rate of 4.5% over the 2005/06-2016/17 period. Annual average GDP growth slowed down to 3.2% over the 2010/11-2015/16 period, but has accelerated in recent years on the basis of an expansionary fiscal policy that led to strong consumption and investment expenditure, and an economic reform programme aimed at fostering growth.

Tax body, civil society join hands to fight illicit financial flows

Civil society organisations have joined the campaign to end illegal financial flows in the country and Africa in general. The “Stop the Bleeding” campaign seeks to end illicit financial flows by multinationals, which are draining Rwanda’s economy and that of the continent, and is being supported by the tax body, according to the organisers.

Illicit financial flows: The economy of illicit trade in West Africa

This OECD report goes beyond traditional efforts to measure illicit financial flows (focusing solely on financial losses) and takes the first step towards building a qualitative understanding of the way in which illicit or criminal activities might interact with the economy, security and development of a region particularly susceptible to IFFs.

Third African Trade Policy Centre Steering Committee Meeting takes place in Marrakesh

ATPC Coordinator, Mr. David Luke, gave an overview of the Centre’s activities during 2017 with additional details provided by the Centre’s team members. As part of the 2018 work programme, the Centre presented its new monitoring tool for tracking AfCFTA implementation throughout the continent and impact on enterprise and business expansion and development.

Collective action is key to defending trade, Geneva Dialogue hears

Challenges to the multilateral trading system can be met by collective institutions like UNCTAD defending trade’s power to pull more people out of poverty. The time has come to defend the rules-based multilateral trading system as a force for creating inclusive prosperity, UNCTAD Secretary-General Mukhisa Kituyi said at a United Nations meeting of leading international figures in Geneva on Monday.

Three East Africa states in US crosshairs over mitumba ban

East African nations that are en-route to stopping importation of used clothes may soon pay a price for it following the US State Department’s announcement that Washington will impose trade penalties in retaliation to what they see as a blockage of free trade. Platform Partners’ Statement at the closing of the conference on taxation and SDGs

Major international organizations – including the IMF, OECD, UN and World Bank Group – on 14 February 2018 called on governments from around the world to strengthen and increase the effectiveness of their tax systems to generate the domestic resources needed to meet the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and promote inclusive economic growth.

Court dismisses appeal over EAC partner states signing EPA dispute

The Appellate Division dismissed an Appeal filed by one Castro Pius from the United Republic of Tanzania, whose application seeking an injunction to stop the Partner States which had not signed the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) not to sign the same and those who had signed, to stop them from carrying out any further procedures and processes.

From RECs to a Continental FTA: Strategic tools to assist negotiators and agricultural policy design in Africa

This UNCTAD report seeks to enhance knowledge among policymakers, experts and private sector stakeholders on essential policies and measures for establishing the CFTA and boost regional supply chains in not only agricultural commodities but also processed food products. 

How can the CFTA help Africa respond to its economic transformation imperative?

Despite the substantial growth of their economies over the last decades, many African countries are still struggling to transition to higher value-added economic activities. In a global trade context marked by substantial challenges, how can the CFTA support Africa’s structural transformation?

Afreximbank urges use of factoring to expand Africa’s regional value chains

African countries should take make use of factoring in order to take advantage of the opportunities for expanding the continent’s regional value chains, participants at a regional factoring conference held in Dakar have heard.

30th session of the FAO Regional Conference for Africa

The 30th FAO Regional Conference for Africa is being held at the Friendship Hall from 19 to 23 February 2018 under the theme, “Sustainable development of agriculture and food systems in Africa: improving the means of production and the creation of decent and attractive employment for youth”. 
AGOA.info


US Commerce secretary releases steel and aluminum report in coordination with White House, potentially impacting South Africa
The US is currently reviewing the impact of US steel imports from a range of countries, including South Africa. The Department of Commerce has recommended a range of possible measures, including quotas and high import tariffs. South Africa would be significantly affected by this, given that steel forms an important export product to the US, with data showing that in 2017, these were worth almost $900m, having increased from $500m the previous year. A large proportion of these exports from South Africa enter the US duty-free under AGOA/GSP preferences. View a summarised report, the full reports, as well as data since 2000 at this link.   
 
AGOA/South Africa Infographic
View or download an infographic on South Africa and AGOA, prepared for a recent exporter seminar that tralac participated in.

Telephonic press briefing: US Acting Director for Economic and Regional Affairs Harry Sullivan on AGOA (Click to listen)
On 13 February, the Bureau of African Affairs Acting Director for Economic and Regional Affairs Harry Sullivan provided an update on US economic policy in Africa and efforts to expand trade and investment in Africa under AGOA. A transcript of the media briefing along with a recording is available at this link.

Hearing on US trade and investment with sub-Saharan Africa: Recent developments
On 23 January, the United States International Trade Commission held public hearings on US trade and investment with sub-Saharan Africa. This follows the earlier announcement in November 2017. The publicly available submissions can be downloaded here. The remaining calendar items for this process are as follows:
 
February 6, 2018: Deadline for filing all other written submissions. (Note: these written submissions can now be downloaded from AGOA.info here)
April 30, 2018: Transmittal of Commission report to USTR.

Botswana launches national AGOA utilisation strategy, Kenya busy developing a follow-up AGOA strategy
Botswana recently launched a national AGOA utilization strategy. Zambia, Kenya and Lesotho are some of the countries currently developing or updating their AGOA strategies. At least a dozen of such strategies have already been launched – they can be downloaded at this link.
 
AGOA country eligibility reviewSwaziland and the Gambia re-admitted
The AGOA Implementation Subcommittee of the Trade Policy Staff Committee (Subcommittee) has been developing recommendations for the US President on AGOA country eligibility for calendar year 2018. Copies of the written submission, as well as a transcript of the oral testimony, can be downloaded from AGOA.info at this link. On 23 December 2017, through Proclamation 9223, US President Trump determined that The Gambia and Swaziland should have their AGOA preferential status restored. See the official proclamation and related news here. View a Government Accountability Office report on AGOA eligibility processes here.

New trade data for the full year 2017 has been published on AGOA.info
Aggregate US exports from AGOA beneficiaries to the US were worth $24.95 billion in 2017, of which $13.81 billion was shipped under AGOA/GSP preference. Also see the new sector trade data for the agriculture, automotive, textiles, leather and metals sectors – with additional sector-focused data to follow.

Selected charts from the AGOA Data Center



AGOA Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Visit a list of ‘FAQs’ relating to AGOA here.

AGOA web resources
Follow the link to a new web-resources section on the AGOA.info, housed under the Exporter Toolkit section. It contains a growing collection of online resources and contact details which provide valuable information to producers and exporters.  

AGOA Country Profiles
Bilateral trade data profiles, disaggregated by sector, are available for each AGOA beneficiary country individually and contain quarterly data. The data also includes a number of regional trade profiles, featuring the AGOA beneficiaries in SACU, SADC, EAC, COMESA and others. The monthly data sections are currently being updated to November 2017. Data includes exports by country, by product sector, and by program.

AGOA strategies
In line with the AGOA legislation, a number of countries have developed AGOA strategies to help them better utilize the preferences offered by AGOA. See the AGOA.info toolkit for the completed strategy documents. New AGOA strategies for Rwanda, Lesotho, Tanzania and Zambia were recently added. Botswana has announced the pending launch of its strategy – see related article.

Exporter Toolkit
The exporter toolkit contains sector-specific resources, and also covers key themes (SPS measures, packaging, trade shows, business planning etc.) that are of relevance to producers and traders planning to export to the US. Also see the new Web Resources section.

AGOA products database
Following revisions to the HS and a number of new product classifications, as well as certain changes to the AGOA categories, a new, updated product list covering AGOA-eligible products is available on AGOA.info. More than 6,400 tariff lines currently have AGOA status, including textiles and apparel upon meeting AGOA’s wearing apparel provisions.
 
From the AGOA news archive
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