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Week of July 10th

FROM THE  ATLANTIC COUNCIL 

Senior fellow Borzou Daragahi on how Tehran will respond to a  series of unusual events that point to sabotage.

Journalist Sheida Hooshmandi on an Iranian gamer’s battle against sanctions and sexism.


FOREIGN AFFAIRS + SECURITY

A firefighter helps an injured woman at the site of an explosion at a medical clinic in Tehran, Iran, June 30. Tasnim News Agency/Handout via REUTERS

What are all these explosions?: A series of unusual explosions in Iran began in late June after a blast at the Parchin weapons depot near Tehran. This was followed by a fire at a north Tehran medical clinic that killed nineteen. Then on July 2, a heavy fire destroyed significant sections of the centrifuge assembly workshop at the Natanz nuclear facility. On July 4, an explosion reportedly damaged a power plant in the southwestern city of Ahvaz, while chlorine gas leaked at a petrochemical plant near the Bandar Imam Khomeini just 60 kilometers south of Ahvaz (RFE/RL).

On July 5, Iranian officials acknowledged the fire at the Natanz nuclear complex caused significant damage, setting the country’s nuclear program back by months (New YorkTimes). According to the New York Times, “A Middle Eastern intelligence official with knowledge of the episode said Israel was responsible for the attack… using a powerful bomb.” A member of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps also said an explosive was used. Al-Monitor pointed out that the “Middle Eastern intelligence” official may in fact be Mossad Chief Yossi Cohen (Al-Monitor). Avigdor Liberman, chair of Israel’s Yisrael Beitenu party, reportedly urged Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to “to shut [the leaker’s] mouth,” an apparent reference to Cohen. Meanwhile, Israel’s Defense Minister Benny Gantz said on July 5, “Not every incident that transpires in Iran necessarily has something to do with us.” (Reuters) The following day, Israel launched a spy satellite into orbit (Times of Israel). Israel’s prime minister said the launch “very much increases our ability to act against Israel’s enemies, near and far alike. It greatly expands our ability to act on land, at sea, in the air and also in space.”
 
On July 6, intelligence officials and weapons experts said that the Natanz incident was probably an act of sabotage (Washington Post). The spokesman for Iran’s nuclear energy agency said Iran knows the cause of the explosions but could not provide details due to “security considerations.” On July 7, an explosion damaged a factory south of Tehran (Time of Israel). State media reported that two people were killed in a blast at the Sepahan Bresh factory. Kahrizak’s district governor blamed the explosion on oxygen tanks being filled at the factory. On July 10, another explosion shook Tehran in the middle of the night (New York Times). Though its exact location is unclear, the explosion reportedly caused power failures in two residential areas. Iranian officials are giving contradictory statements, with some even denying an explosion even took place (Twitter). 
 
Soleimani death unlawful: On July 7, a UN human rights investigator called the January assassination of Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani and nine others a violation of international law (Reuters). Agnes Callamard, UN special rapporteur on extrajudicial, summary or arbitrary executions, said the US “failed to provide sufficient evidence of an ongoing or imminent attack against its interests to justify the strike.” On July 8, the US State Department denounced the UN probe saying it gave “a pass to terrorists.” (Al Jazeera) Spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus told reporters, “It takes a special kind of intellectual dishonesty to issue a report condemning the United States for acting in self-defense while whitewashing General Soleimani's notorious past as one of the world's deadliest terrorists.” On July 9, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo rejected Callamard’s conclusions as "spurious." (RFE/RL)

Iraqi expert assassinated: On July 6, a prominent Iraqi expert on jihadi groups in the Middle East was shot dead in Baghdad (New York Times). Hisham al-Hashimi, 47, appeared frequently on Iraqi and western media and advised governments. The news of his death shocked many in the Middle East and in the West. Hashimi’s work antagonized the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) as well as Iran-backed Shia militias such as Kataib Hezbollah, both of which had threatened him in recent weeks. Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi said that no one was “above the law” and that his government would purse the killers and punish them. According to a close friend of Hashimi, he sought advice from him after receiving a disturbing message from Kataib Hezbollah (VOA). Many of Hashimi’s colleagues believe the Shia militia was behind his death. On July 8, the US secretary of state urged Iraq to hold account those responsible for killing Hashimi (Wall Street Journal). A day before Hashimi’s assassination, rockets were fired at US diplomatic and military installations (AP). Since October, the US diplomats and troops have been targeted by Iran-backed militias. 

25-year agreement with China: On July 5, Iran’s foreign minister said the country was “negotiating a strategic 25-year accord with China” and will reveal the details once the deal is struck (AFP). He added that the accord was not a secret and was made public during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Tehran in January 2016. China was Iran’s top crude exporter but has been sidelined by US sanctions. The details of the accord, an 18-page document prepared by the Iranian foreign ministry, was leaked (IranWire). According to IranWire, “If approved, the details of this plan in terms of the concessions given by Iran to a foreign country would be unprecedented in the Islamic Republic's 41-year history.” 


DOMESTIC ISSUES

Coronavirus updates: As of July 08, Iran’s official death toll from the coronavirus is over 12,000, with at least 248,379 cases of infections (VOA). Days before, on July 5, Iran instituted mandatory mask-wearing due to the growing number of cases and deaths (AP). According to the Associated Pressthere is apathy in Iran over the coronavirus: “Whether rooted in fatigue, dismissal or fatalism, that indifference has scared Iranian public health officials into issuing increasingly dire warnings.”

Talks of impeachment again: On July 5, Iran’s foreign minister spoke to the newly elected and conservatively dominated parliament for the first time (The Guardian). Mohammad Javad Zarif was heckled by members of parliament who accused him of selling out the country by negotiating the 2015 nuclear agreement with the West. Zarif responded to the criticism saying: “I even want to thank you for your sharp criticisms, but you should know we are in the same boat. We are all in this together. The US does not recognize [the difference between] liberals, reformists and conservatives, revolutionaries and non-revolutionaries.” He added that the Supreme Leader had given the okay for the nuclear accord. One hardline MP chanted, “death to the liar” as Zarif spoke. On July 6, it was announced that Iranian hardliners in parliament intend to summon President Hassan Rouhani for questioning, a move that could lead to impeachment (Reuters). On July 8, Rouhani called the Iranian foreign minister an embodiment of Iran’s political power (Al-Monitor) He added, “This is not the best time for an exchange of diatribes at a moment when the country is facing too many enemies and has to fight across multiple fronts from sanctions to the coronavirus.”


OTHER NEWS THAT MADE HEADLINES
RIGHTS
Iran executes man for drinking alcohol (Radio Farda).
Imprisoned rights activist Narges Mohammadi may have COVID-19, husband says (CHRI).
Atena Daemi begins new prison sentence on day she was to be freed (CHRI).
Iran’s leader said it was ok to criticize him. So why was this man sentenced to prison? (RFE/RL) 

DOMESTIC ISSUES
Why Iranians, rattled by suicides, point a finger at leaders (Christian Science Monitor). 
Tehran mayor sees 'threat' in Iranians' dissatisfaction (AFP). 
Health minister warns of a rebellion fueled by poverty (IranWire). 

FOREIGN AFFAIRS
Internet in Iran disrupted due to knock-on effect of power cut in Armenia (Netblocks).
Iran says it has built underground missile cities along gulf coastline (Haartez). 

IRAN DEAL + SANCTIONS
Iran files lawsuit against United States over sanctions amid COVID-19 fight (Hindustan Times). 
Iran's oil storage almost full as sanctions and pandemic weigh (Reuters).
Iranian banker’s prosecutors face scrutiny over sanctions case (Bloomberg).
Judge awards $879 million from Iran to Khobar Towers bombing victims, families (Air Force Times).

ECONOMY + TRADE
Iran rial slides to new low as coronavirus, sanctions weigh (Reuters).  

ART + CULTURE
New ancient site unearthed in western Iran (IRNA).
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