Hi there,

Today we ponder Europe's (bleak?) technological future, look ahead to UK elections, check the latest in northern Syria, write off a candidate for Hong Kong's elections, and wonder if the Lebanese PM's resignation will tame those nationwide protests.

Let us know what you think, and thanks for reading.

-The Signalistas
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Hi there,

Today we ponder Europe's (bleak?) technological future, look ahead to UK elections, check the latest in northern Syria, write off a candidate for Hong Kong's elections, and wonder if the Lebanese PM's resignation will tame those nationwide protests.

Let us know what you think, and thanks for reading.

-The Signalistas
 

In a breakthrough that will give the British people one more chance to weigh in on the tortured question of Brexit, the UK Parliament – after a series of baroque machinations – agreed late yesterday to hold a general election on December 12.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has pushed for this vote (four times now!) because he's gambling that his Conservative Party can win the majority he needs to push through his Brexit deal before the newly-extended deadline to leave the EU hits on January 31. Although his party leads in the polls (some even show the Conservatives up by double digits), there is no shortage of risks for him—the polls could just be wrong (as they were when his predecessor Theresa May tried to cushion her own parliamentary majority by calling a snap election in 2017, only to actually lose seats), or voters could hold Johnson, and his entire Conservative party by extension, responsible for the endless anguish of Brexit. Some Britons will even treat this as a de facto second Brexit referendum instead of a national election since there are no guarantees they will have another chance to make their voices heard.


That's exactly what certain parties are counting on. The Liberal Democrats, for their part, will campaign for votes among those who favor remaining in the EU, as will the Scottish Nationalist Party, while the upstart far-right Brexit Party will try to poach Brexit supporters who think Johnson hasn't been hardline enough.

One of the big questions is how the opposition Labour Party will fare. Labour, which held out until the last moment on supporting a fresh election, is badly divided over whether to leave the EU or not. They will campaign on renegotiating the Brexit agreement and then putting their new deal to a vote to the British people. Party leader Jeremy Corbyn is a better campaigner than he is an opposition leader, but asking Brexit-fatigued folks to extend the political chaos so Labour can have a turn negotiating with Brussels is a tough message to win an election on.

What's certain is that this will be the most bitter and tumultuous British election campaign in recent memory. What is not as certain is whether it will in fact yield a clear majority for any of these parties. If not, the hell of Brexit will roll right through snowball season…


 

 
 
 

It used to be that sovereignty – a country's ability to do what it wants at home and abroad – depended mostly on military or economic clout. But in the digital age, when the ability to make sense of massive amounts of data will increasingly determine economic and military might, that's changing. And for the world's largest economic bloc, that's a big, big problem. Check out Kevin Allison's look at the fate of Europe's "technological sovereignty" here.


 

 
 
 

Americans' views on trade have ebbed and flowed over the past few decades, influenced in part by trade milestones like the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) or China's entry into the WTO. But in recent years, a strong and growing majority of Americans see foreign trade, in principle, more as an opportunity than as a threat. Here's a look at the data from 1992-2019.


 

 
 
 

Microsoft shared this week that the Microsoft Threat Intelligence Center tracked significant cyberattacks targeting anti-doping authorities and sporting organizations around the world. At least 16 national and international sporting and anti-doping organizations across three continents were targeted in these attacks which began September 16th, just before news reports about new potential action being taken by the World Anti-Doping Agency. Some of these attacks were successful, but the majority were not.

You can protect yourself from these types of attacks in at least three ways. We recommend, first, that you enable two-factor authentication on all business and personal email accounts. Second, learn how to spot phishing schemes and protect yourself from them. Third, enable security alerts about links and files from suspicious websites.

Visit Microsoft on the Issues to learn more.


 

 
 
 

Lebanon's PM throws in the towel: After two weeks of widespread anti-government protests, Lebanon's Prime Minister Saad Hariri announced yesterday that he and his government would resign, paving the way for new elections. Years' worth of rage over government corruption and bleak job prospects exploded in mid-October when the government proposed a tax on calls made using free internet messaging services. But it's unclear whether this will be enough for protesters, whose signature chant "all of them means all of them" emphasizes that they want to upend the entire political class. Hariri's resignation also defied Hezbollah, the political party and militia group, which is a crucial member of the country's national-unity government and has rejected calls for an early election. As of now, there's no sign that the protesters are willing to back down, or that Hezbollah will agree to resign from government.


Time runs out in northern Syria: According to a Russia-Turkey agreement, all Kurdish militants are now supposed to have withdrawn from the Turkish-administered "safe zone" that extends 20 miles into northern Syria. The Russians say the Kurds are out, but Turkey isn't ready to confirm that, and there are concerns that Turkey is preparing to charge further into Syria than agreed. After all, Ankara is openly aiming to ethnically cleanse the region of Kurds, in order to resettle it with up to two million Syrian Arab refugees currently living in Turkey. At the same time, Turkish soldiers have clashed with Syrian army troops for the first time. This means that Turkey, a NATO member, is now patrolling a safe zone cleared of former US allies with Russia, while also shooting at Syrian soldiers backed by...Russia.

A big candidate barred in Hong Kong: Joshua Wong, Hong Kong's budding pro-democracy activist, was barred on Tuesday from running in district council elections slated for November 24, because he has been "advocating or promoting self-determination" for the territory. Pro-Beijing candidates usually dominate local polls in Hong Kong, but months of political unrest over the mainland's encroachment on Hong Kong's freedoms have prompted a surge in the number of pro-democracy candidates running. Wong, the former student leader of the 2014 Umbrella movement, is the only banned candidate out of more than 1,100 contenders. Pro-democracy candidates and pro-Beijing incumbents are vying for seats that will give them a say in the nomination of Hong Kong's next leader.

What We're Ignoring:

The spy who stole al-Baghdadi's underwear: The operation to capture or kill ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was successful because of months-long cooperation between the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the US military. While these missions are often top secret, a rather unusual detail of the daring raid has been released: to make sure that US forces were trailing the right terrorist, a Kurdish spy stole al-Baghdadi's underwear in order to test his DNA and confirm a match! While it's comforting to know that US-Kurdish intelligence sharing paid off, we're ignoring this because, frankly, it's TMI.


 

 
 
 

18: Despite a recent government inquiry that condemned the use of live fire against protesters, Iraqi security forces have done just that – killing at least 18 people in the southern city of Kerbala. Thousands of Iraqis have returned to the streets in recent days in a second wave of demonstrations over corruption, joblessness, and the government's violent crackdowns.


16: ISIS-linked jihadists killed 16 villagers in a shooting in northern Burkina Faso. It's the latest attack by jihadist insurgents who have gained a foothold in the Sahel region, stoking tribal and sectarian tensions.

350 million: According to a new study, some 350 million people in China are overweight or obese, including one out of every five children. In the mid-1990s, before an economic boom made processed junk foods more widely available, only one child in 20 was overweight.

67: Ethnic and political tensions have sparked an outbreak of violence in Ethiopia, Africa's second most populous country, resulting in 67 deaths. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has come under harsh criticism for his muted response to the violence, just weeks after receiving the Nobel Peace Prize.


 

 
 

This edition of signal was written by Kevin Allison, Alex Kliment, Gabrielle Debinski and Leon Levy. The graphic was made by Ari Winkleman. Spiritual counsel from Willis, who is close to Zen as we speak.

 

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