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Geomagnetic storm forecast. Chance of aurora on the nights of 24th October 2019.
British Geological Survey

Geomagnetic Disturbance Alert

24th October 2019

British Geological Survey

A recurrent, trans-equatorial coronal hole reached an Earth facing position on the 20th of October 2019. The initial arrival of the coronal hole high-speed wind stream is anticipated on Thursday 24th of October. This will cause the geomagnetic activity to increase significantly from ambient levels. 

On the previous solar rotation, this coronal hole activity peaked at STORM G1 on the 27th of September. Hence, the Earth may again experience ACTIVE and geomagnetic storm events in the next two days.  We cannot rule out the possibility of an isolated STORM G2 event. 

Assuming clear, dark skies, there is a greater chance of seeing the aurora over the course of the next two evenings. Those in Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland have a better chance if the weather is favourable on the 24th of October. 

For more information please visit:
http://geomag.bgs.ac.uk/data_service/space_weather/alerts/alert_2019-10-24.html

For current geomagnetic activity levels please see:
http://geomag.bgs.ac.uk/data_service/space_weather/Global_activity_now.html

For more advice on viewing the Northern Lights please visit:
http://www.geomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/viewing_aurora.html
 

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