Friday, February 8, 2019

UN Says Saudi Officials Planned and Carried Out Khashoggi Murder

A United Nations-led inquiry into the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi said on Thursday that evidence pointed to a brutal crime “planned and perpetrated” by Saudi officials. “Evidence collected during my mission to Turkey shows prime facie case that Mr. Khashoggi was the victim of a brutal and premeditated killing, planned and perpetrated by officials of the State of Saudi Arabia,” Agnes Callamard, UN special rapporteur for extrajudicial summary or arbitrary executions, said in a statement issued in Geneva. She said her Jan 28-Feb 3 mission to Turkey with a team of three experts “could not firmly establish whether the original intention was to abduct Mr. Khashoggi, with his murder planned only in the eventuality of this abduction failing.” She also said Saudi officials had “seriously undermined” and delayed Turkey’s efforts to investigate the crime scene at its Istanbul consulate.

Callamard’s team was also unable to meet with some Turkish investigators who had been working on the case. She called on Turkey to “promptly fulfill their pledge to provide access to forensic, scientific and police reports.” She asked for meetings with U.S. officials, including at the CIA, the State Department, and Congress. “I intend to continue to consider evidence in the weeks to come and would urge anyone who has knowledge or intelligence about what took place before and after Mr. Khashoggi’s murder to share it with us,” she said.

Meanwhile, a confidential report prepared for the Saudi public prosecutor by Kroll, a private security firm, is contesting an assessment by the CIA that concluded Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman likely ordered the killing of Khashoggi. A draft of the report, reviewed by the Wall Street Journal, found that none of the WhatsApp messages exchanged between Prince Mohammed and top aide Saud al-Qahtani on October 2, the day Khashoggi was killed, concerned the journalist or his murder. The existence of those messages between the Saudi prince and Qahtani—who reportedly oversaw the team that killed Khashoggi in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul—was one piece of evidence cited in the CIA assessment. Two U.S. officials said this week that the CIA stands by its “medium-to-high confidence” assessment that Prince Mohammed personally targeted Khashoggi, authorized the operation against him, and probably ordered his death. Reuters, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal
Related:
The Hill: Senators Reintroduce Bill to Punish Saudis for Khashoggi Killing
New York Times: Year Before Killing, Saudi Prince Told Aide He Would Use ‘a Bullet’ on Khashoggi

6ada3404-0c68-4d3e-a918-01511d10b9c7.png

Don’t trust the Taliban’s promises: “U.S. priorities in talks with the Afghan Taliban should be to seek a cease-fire, the release of Western hostages held by the Taliban, and an accommodation between the insurgents and the lawful Afghan government,” Husain Haqqani writes in Foreign Policy. “But the framework agreement announced by Trump’s special envoy for Afghan reconciliation, Zalmay Khalilzad, after initial talks with the Taliban reflected different priorities..”

Why a deal with Taliban will prevent attacks on America: “Critics of the American negotiations with the Taliban are questioning whether the Taliban’s assurances to not allow any terrorist acts against the United States and its allies from Afghanistan can be trusted. The Taliban—like any group or state—can be expected to act in their own interests,” Borhan Osman writes in the New York Times. “I have observed the evolution of the Taliban’s relations with transnational jihadist groups on the ground. The Taliban’s full-throated fight against the Islamic State franchisee in Afghanistan shows their will and capability to counter a jihadist group that they consider a competitor.”

Competition with China and the future of the Asian international order: “Great power competition has never gone away in the way that many had hoped in the years following the end of the Cold War. Such competition was certainly muted during this era, when American power was predominant, Russia was in decline, and China’s rise was in its nascent stages. But all of that has changed now,” David M. Edelstein writes in War on the Rocks. “The implications are likely to be more competition and, indeed, the possibility of great power war.”

Editor's Picks


3b39437b-3c93-4ce8-81e5-9a66c1c67612.png

Muslim inmate executed in Alabama after legal battle over imam’s presence: A Muslim inmate who filed a legal challenge because Alabama wouldn’t let his Islamic spiritual adviser be present in the execution chamber was put to death Thursday. The 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals on Wednesday stayed the execution over the religious arguments, but the Supreme Court allowed it to proceed in a 5-4 decision Thursday evening. Dominique Ray, 42, had argued Alabama’s execution procedure favors Christian inmates because a Christian chaplain employed by the prison typically remains in the execution chamber during a lethal injection, but the state would not let his imam be there in the room.  Attorneys for the state said only prison employees are allowed in the chamber for security reasons. Ray’s imam, Yusef Maisonet, watched the execution from an adjoining witness room, after visiting with Ray over the past two days. There was no Christian chaplain in the chamber, a concession the state agreed to make.

Justice Elena Kagan wrote in a dissent that she considered the decision to let the execution go forward “profoundly wrong.” Spencer Hahn, one of Ray’s attorneys, said he was appalled that Ray received unequal treatment at his death because he was a member of a religious minority.  Associated Press, CNN

Prosecutors say Manafort continued Ukraine work in 2018: Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s team has accused Paul Manafort, the former Trump campaign chairman, of continuing to try to minimize the conduct of an associate with alleged ties to Russian intelligence, even after Manafort agreed last year to plead guilty and cooperate with prosecutors, according to a newly released court transcript. The partially redacted transcript of a lengthy hearing that took place behind closed doors on Monday shows that Mueller’s team contended that when Manafort was debriefed by prosecutors and FBI agents, he seemed to be trying to avoid providing information that could be damaging to Konstantin Kilimnik, a Russian-Ukrainian national who was deeply involved in Manafort’s political consulting work in Ukraine. “I think Mr. Manafort went out of his way in this instance … to not want to provide any evidence that could be used with respect to Mr. Kilimnik,” Deputy Special Counsel Andrew Weissmann told U.S. District Court Judge Amy Berman Jackson during the court session.

Prosecutors have accused Manafort of breaching his plea deal by repeatedly lying during debriefing sessions and during appearances before a grand jury late last year. Manafort’s attorneys say any misstatements were the result of confusion or foggy memory, rather than a deliberate effort to mislead. The closed-door hearing on Monday served as a forum for the attorneys to hash out the latest lying charges against Manafort. Additional briefs on the allegations against Manafort are due on Friday, and another sealed hearing is scheduled for next Wednesday. Politico, Washington Post, NBC News

Trump fumes after Schiff hires former NSC aides: House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (D-MA) has hired officials with experience at the National Security Council to help with his panel’s oversight of President Trump’s administration, according to a committee aide. The aide declined to say how recently the newly hired officials worked at the NSC, whether they served under Trump, or to identify the individuals. Trump fumed on Twitter over the hires, and the White House implied that Schiff, who announced a sweeping investigation into the president and his finances this week, recently hired or is interviewing officials from the administration to work on his committee that is investigating Trump. Schiff’s office declined to comment on whether any individuals from the Trump administration had been hired. He said the intelligence committee had a “long tradition of hiring out of the intelligence community, out of the National Security Council.” CNN

State Department ramps up fight against foreign propaganda: A Navy and intelligence veteran and television news correspondent for Fox News will take up a key position at the State Department to tackle foreign propaganda efforts as part of the U.S. government’s response to Russian disinformation, terrorist group messaging, and Chinese propaganda. Lea Gabrielle confirmed in an interview that she will be named the new head of the Global Engagement Center, the State Department’s hub for coordinating counter-propaganda efforts worldwide. Gabrielle served in the U.S. Navy as a fighter pilot and later as an intelligence officer, with deployments in Afghanistan and Iraq, before becoming a journalist at NBC and Fox News. “We have to realize that we are under attack by adversary countries and international terrorist organizations that are using propaganda and disinformation as a weapon,” she said. Foreign Policy


baaa134e-88ed-4a9a-a9aa-5f23d7837a6c.png

Ukraine MPs bar Russians from observing elections: Ukraine’s parliament has barred Russian citizens from serving as election monitors during the upcoming presidential election. The Supreme Rada voted to exclude Russians from international observer missions that will be monitoring the voting in Ukraine next month. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe submitted a list of candidates for the Ukrainian monitoring missing, which included two Russians. The organization's observers are considered one of the most credible voices on elections in the region. The U.S. Special Envoy for Ukraine, Kurt Volker, tweeted before the vote that Ukraine “needs” OSCE observers, even if some are Russian citizens, “to prove it adheres to democratic standards.” Associated Press

Lack of funding may prevent over half of Libya’s local elections: At least 69 municipal councils out of 120 in Libya may not hold elections in March due to a lack of funding by the UN-backed government, the head of the elections committee said. Holding elections to renew the municipal councils requires at least $36 million, Salem Bentahia, head of the Central Committee for Municipal Councils Election said, adding that the committee has only received 30 percent of that budget. Without government funds, the committee is unable to launch awareness raising programs on the importance of municipal elections, Bentahia said. Reuters

Guatemala presidential candidate targeted over financing: Prosecutors in Guatemala sought Wednesday to have presidential candidate Sandra Torres Casanova’s immunity from prosecution withdrawn over a case of millions in alleged illicit campaign financing four years ago. Juan Francisco Sandoval, head of the anti-impunity prosecutors’ office, said Torres’ National Unity of Hope party is suspected of receiving about $2.5 million for the 2015 presidential election from businesses, contributions that were not reported to the Supreme Electoral Tribunal. “The crimes which would be charged are illicit association, perjury, illicit and unreported electoral financing, and tax fraud,” Sandoval said. At a news conference, Torres laid blame on former chief prosecutor Thelma Aldana, who is planning her own presidential bid, and accused Sandoval of persecuting her at Aldana’s bidding. Associated Press

Thai king’s sister running for PM in March polls: The sister of Thailand’s king entered the race for prime minister on Friday as the candidate of a populist party, an unprecedented foray into politics by a member of the royal family in the country’s first election since a 2014 military coup. Princess Ubolratana Rajakanya Sirivadhana Barnavadi, 67, the elder sister of King Maha Vajiralongkorn, was nominated by a party loyal to ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra, the figure at the center political turbulence and rival street protests that have riven Thai society for years. One of her chief opponents in the March 24 election will be Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha, the leader of the ruling military junta, who also announced his candidacy on Friday. Reuters


14ee6e5d-0a2f-4bd0-a420-e88dec5ebf4d.png

U.S. military sets April as target date to leave Syria: The Pentagon is preparing to pull all U.S. forces out of Syria by the end of April, current and former U.S. officials said. With U.S.-backed Kurdish fighters poised to seize the final Syrian sanctuaries held by ISIS in the coming days, the U.S. military is reportedly turning its attention toward a withdrawal of forces in the coming weeks. The military plans to pull a significant portion of its forces out by mid-March, with a full withdrawal coming by the end of April, the officials said.

Meanwhile, officials said the Trump administration has been struggling to come up with an agreement to protect Kurdish allies from being attacked by Turkish forces. The U.S. has been trying to work out a deal with Ankara on a political plan for northeastern Syria that would avert a destabilizing fight between Turkish forces and Kurdish forces in Syria that Turkey views as terrorists. But officials said the two sides have made little headway. Wall Street Journal

Pakistan instrumental in Afghan peace talks: Pakistan, long at odds with the U.S. over the war in Afghanistan, has begun to play a behind-the-scenes but central role in supporting U.S. peace talks with the Afghan Taliban, including by facilitating travel to negotiations, according to U.S. officials and Taliban sources. The Pakistani assistance also reportedly includes exerting pressure on Taliban leaders who fail to cooperate, including by detaining members of the militants’ families. Taliban sources said Pakistan’s role in bringing the Taliban to the negotiating table was instrumental. The Pakistani role in the peace negotiations is a delicate one. The Taliban do not want to appear beholden to Islamabad, which has long denied U.S. accusations that it provides safe haven and assistance to the group. Reuters

Africom head says airstrikes not enough to defeat al-Shabaab: The head of U.S. Africa Command on Thursday said that U.S. airstrikes against al-Shabaab fighters in Somalia are not enough to defeat the group, and that local forces need to “step up.” Marine Corps Gen. Thomas Waldhauser told lawmakers during a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing that the U.S. strikes “are going to provide the opportunity for the federal government and the Somali National Army to grow and assume the security of that country.” Waldhauser said that the strikes "are causing problems” for and “deterring” al-Shabaab, but that it is “an open question as to how much.” The Hill

Houthis say Yemen prisoner swap talks could drag on for months: Talks on a UN-sponsored prisoner swap in Yemen’s war could drag on for months if the Saudi-backed government denies the existence of thousands of Houthi fighters in captivity, the Houthis said on Thursday. In two rounds of talks in Amman, the warring parties have been hammering out details of the prisoner exchange agreed to in December. Delegates to the talks have been struggling to come with a final list of detainees after verifying an initial list they exchanged in Sweden that had around 15,000 people. Abdul Qader Murtada, who heads the Houthi delegation, said the Yemeni government side had accounted for only a tenth of a total of 7,500 of Houthi prisoners held in the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. Reuters


5f5f272d-5e2c-43b5-99f9-8fd4849ab640.png

Venezuela aid trucks arrive in Colombia as EU calls for dialogue: Trucks carrying humanitarian aid for Venezuela arrived in the Colombian border city of Cucuta on Thursday as President Nicolas Maduro appeared set to block the convoy’s entry amid an escalating political crisis. The arrival of the aid convoy, which includes supplies provided by the U.S., has increased the pressure on Maduro hours after the EU-backed International Contact Group on Venezuela called for dialogue and elections and warned against interventionism. Maduro has rejected the aid convoy as a “political show” and vowed to remain in office despite dozens of nations around the world disavowing his leadership and recognizing opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s rightful head of state. Reuters

Top U.S. envoy returns to South Korea after North Korea visit: The top U.S. envoy for North Korea Stephen Biegun returned to South Korea on Friday after three days of talks in Pyongyang to work out details of a second summit between U.S. President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Trump said Wednesday that he will hold a summit with Kim in Vietnam on February 27-28. Biegun is expected to brief South Korean officials about his visit to North Korea. He is thought to have discussed specific disarmament steps that North Korea could promise at the Vietnam summit and what corresponding measures the United States is willing to take. Associated Press

Chile’s former army chief detained for torture under Pinochet: Police in Chile arrested a former army chief Thursday on charges of torturing 24 people in 1973, shortly after the coup that brought dictator Augusto Pinochet to power, officials said. Retired general Juan Emilio Cheyre was convicted last November and sentenced to three years under house arrest for his role in the killing of 15 people in the so-called “Caravan of Death,” a unit sent out by Pinochet to murder left-wing opponents of his regime. The latest torture charges stem from that case and involve former prisoners who said they were tortured by Cheyre when he was an officer stationed north of Santiago in 1973. Agence France Presse

Iran reveals missile, shows off underground factory: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards inaugurated a surface-to-surface ballistic missile with a range of 1,000 km, the semi-official Fars news agency reported on Thursday. Fars also published pictures of an underground missile factory called an “underground city.” Iran says it has missiles with the range of up to 2,000 km, which puts Israel and U.S. military bases in the region within reach. The EU has stepped up criticism of Iran’s ballistic missiles program, even as the block remains committed to the 2015 nuclear deal. Reuters

Morocco re-evaluates role in Saudi-led Yemen war coalition: Government officials say Morocco has stopped taking part in military action with the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen’s war and has recalled its ambassador to Saudi Arabia. Tensions have been mounting between Morocco and Saudi Arabia amid international concerns about Saudi actions in the Yemen war, Morocco is not currently taking part in military interventions or ministerial meetings in the Saudi-led coalition, according to a Moroccan government official. Associated Press




SOUFAN GROUP

For cutting-edge analysis of the geopolitical events shaping global affairs, read today’s TSC IntelBrief.
Editor-in-Chief, Karen J. Greenberg, Center on National Security, Fordham Law School
 
64508684-dbb9-46d9-ba6f-4449d0ea8162.png

Center on National Security
Fordham University School of Law
150 W. 62nd St. 7th Floor
New York, NY 10023 US
Copyright © 2018 Center on National Security, All rights reserved.

UNSUBSCRIBE
SUBSCRIPTION PREFERENCES