Dear friends,
I hope you are enjoying your stay on the blue planet. We have traveled about 175 million miles around the Sun since my last newsletter and I am eager to share our news with you. The manuscript that UCLA graduate student Paul Pinchuk submitted to the Astronomical Journal is now published. Paul gave an excellent presentation about the results described in this article at the January 2019 meeting of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) in Seattle, WA. I gave a talk in the same session and described the difficulty of establishing meaningful upper limits on the prevalence of transmitters in the Galaxy. If the SETI detection algorithms were perfect, we could perhaps attempt to quantify how many transmitters are out there on the basis of the fraction of the search volume that we sample in any given search. However, most detection algorithms inadvertently eliminate some of the very signals that could reveal extraterrestrial transmissions, making the upper limit calculation unreliable. We are working on minimizing this problem with better algorithms and simulations.
At the AAS meeting, we met with other technosignature experts to discuss the white papers that were being prepared for the Astro 2020 decadal survey organized by the National Academy of Sciences. Our paper titled "The radio search for technosignatures in the decade 2020-2030" (with Steve Croft, Joe Lazio, Jill Tarter, and Eric Korpela) is now available online. Our paper describes the scientific context and importance of the search, four advantages that radio searches provide compared to the well-funded searches for biosignatures, the fraction of the search volume that has been sampled to date (roughly a bathtub's worth of water out of the Earth's oceans), opportunities for increasing the sampled fraction in the 2020-2030 decade, and the hardware, software, and human resources necessary to enable the search. We hope that the Astro 2020 decadal survey committee will read the paper with interest and extract some of the key messages for its final recommendations.
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