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Eurasianet
letter from Tbilisi

Long before Russia launched its war to “denazify” Ukraine, Ukraine was trying to “decommunize” itself by eradicating Soviet symbols and traditions. When and how to celebrate the end of World War II was a key question for this campaign.
 
On a visit to Kyiv a few years ago, I witnessed Victory Day marked twice in a row: on May 8, as in Europe, and on May 9, in keeping with the Soviet tradition. This double date with history speaks more about Ukraine’s future than its past, however.
 
Those pushing to move the commemoration to May 8 argued that the Soviet-style May 9 celebrations gloss over the fact that Ukraine, a major battlefield in the war, suffered from Communism no less than it suffered from Nazism. Beyond changing the date, these activists wanted to switch the focus to remembering the victims, leaving the annual flaunting of military might to Moscow.
 
This year, Kyiv was in no mood to celebrate. Ukrainians are experiencing first-hand the same horrors of war they heard their grandparents once ascribe to the Nazis.
 
May 9 was indeed an awkward anniversary. While Russian President Vladimir Putin inspected troops on Red Square and used the celebration to justify his war against imaginary Nazis, military parades were canceled or scaled back across the post-Soviet world.
 
In Georgia, which shares Ukraine’s ambition to join the EU and has suffered its own Russian invasion in recent memory, at least one opposition party called for switching commemorations to May 8.
 
“May 9 epitomizes a false interpretation of World War II,” said Giorgi Kandelaki of the European Georgia party. “Georgia should not be part of this false interpretation because it underlies Russia’s aggression against Ukraine.”
 
Georgia’s ruling party dismissed the idea. “Of course Russia is manipulating May 9, but the would-be pro-Western forces are also manipulating May 8,” said Shalva Papuashvili, the parliamentary speaker from the Georgian Dream party, as he met World War II veterans in Tbilisi on May 9. “This day belongs to the people who made this victory happen.”
 
-Giorgi Lomsadze

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Central Asia
Kazakhstan’s Second Republic: Plus ça change? President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has pledged a new democratic order following unrest in January. But promises of reform come cheap in Kazakhstan. We unpack what’s in his new constitution. One thing missing: Former President Nursultan Nazarbayev, who  loses most of his privileges in the draft, including lifetime immunity. Meanwhile, the Prosecutor General's Office is closing in on members of the Nazarbayev family as part of an investigation into mind-boggling levels of corruption at the customs service.
 
Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan regulate crypto with eyes on energy deficits. Central Asia’s two biggest economies still want in on the craze, but with safeguards for their grids. Uzbekistan is even incentivizing crypto miners to turn to solar.
 
Turkmenistan: Trading places. Amid a food crisis, the president says food imports should be stopped. He is also demonstrating a performative turn to chastity, in part by declaring war on women. This and more in our weekly Turkmenistan briefing.
 
Tajikistan: Illegally deported Pamiri leader gets 18 years in prison. A prominent member of Tajikistan's Pamiri community who was unlawfully deported from Russia earlier this year has been sentenced to 18 years in prison after signs he was tortured into a confession. Amriddin Alovatshoyev’s trial lasted only two hours.
 
Perspectives | Does a Russian bank merit a sanctions waiver for Central Asia? If Transkapitalbank is serious about its request for a Treasury waiver to operate in Central Asia, it must be prepared to publish a detailed list of correspondent banking activity: who is moving dollars from Central Asian banks to Russian ones and vice versa. That would mark a radical change of behavior for an institution that has, until now, avoided the limelight.
 
ISKP claims new cross-border attack, officials deny. Islamic State militants based in Afghanistan claim to have mounted yet another attack on a neighboring country – Tajikistan this time. ISKP is eager to be seen as able to unleash force not just within Afghanistan, but beyond the border to the north too.
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Caucasus
Georgians take up arms against Russia in Ukraine. Georgians make up the most prominent contingent of foreign fighters in Ukraine. At least nine have been killed.
 
Amid war, bitter exchanges continue to spoil Tbilisi-Kyiv relations. What started out as Ukraine’s dissatisfaction with Georgia’s cautious stance on sanctions has grown into a major controversy filled with mutual accusations, insults, and conspiracy theories.
 
South Ossetia’s incumbent leader loses reelection. The leader of the breakaway Georgian region lost his bid to keep office after sending troops to fight for Russia in Ukraine. A proposal to annex the territory to Russia didn’t help Anatoliy Bibilov either. Still, analysts say his defeat is unlikely to result in any substantial change in relations with Moscow.
 
In regional economic turmoil, Armenian currency sharply rises. The dram has gained about 15 percent against the dollar in recent weeks, bolstered by an influx of Russians to Armenia and a move to buy gas in rubles rather than dollars.
 
Armenia announces, but doesn’t reveal, six new points in negotiations with Azerbaijan. It is a response to Azerbaijan’s earlier five-point proposal, but the secrecy around it has only increased suspicion among Armenians.
 
Azerbaijani activists being arrested after deportation from Germany. Germany is the leading destination for Azerbaijanis leaving for political reasons. It’s also Europe’s leading deporter of Azerbaijanis.
 
Azerbaijan’s president sued for Facebook block. Critics are being blocked from Ilham Aliyev’s social media accounts. Some are taking it to court.
 
Perspectives | Tensions between Iran and Azerbaijan back on the agenda. Despite improved atmospherics, mistrust between Azerbaijan and Iran runs deep. Recent events augur more tensions in the future. Is Azerbaijan promoting Iranian separatism? Is Iran harboring Azerbaijani Islamists?
 
Southeast Europe looks to Azerbaijan to replace Russian gas. For Azerbaijan to meet gas demand in the Balkans, billions in new investments – and patience – will be required.
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