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Charlottesville Q1 Report

You can download the full report by clicking on the headline. Lots of interesting tidbits in this report. Of course they mention rising rates which everyone seems focused on and aware of. However, ask someone who got a mortgage in the 80's how they would feel about a 5% interest rate. They would have killed for a 5% mortgage rate! Rates are still at historical lows. We've been propping up the economy with free money for too long.

Unemployment in the area remains low signaling that although we are not immune to national and global impacts we are in many ways insulated from them. With many of our major employers (UVA, UVA Medical Center, local governments, etc.) being less economy dependent than say the oil industry in Houston, we tend to live in a protective bubble locally.

Sales were down year over year in every single local county. I think that's a reflection of too little inventory, the impact of rising mortgage rates (although you could argue there was a rush to beat the rate hikes), and buyers simply giving up and leaving the market.

Lastly, the number of permits being applied for is growing locally. This is great news as new home construction (or the lack thereof) is one of the reasons we have such little inventory on the market.


Newest listing in Belmont. This 3 BR / 3.5 BA townhome is fully decked out with hardwood floors, cherry cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances! It's also in a quiet and private location. Click on the photo above for more details!
CALMER MARKET COMING?

An article on the national housing market. The article describes the same climate we are seeing locally. Sales are declining (five months in a row nationally). The biggest eyebrow raiser in this article for me was that inflation is expected to hover around 8% all year. I'm not an economist... But... That's high...

Supply Chain Disruptions

Below are links to various articles on supply chain disruptions. What's obvious is that we are feeling the negative impacts of globalization (this is not an anti-globalization comment just a comment on the complex reality). China gets stricter on Covid protocols? Russia starts a war? Setting aside the obvious human impacts, we'll feel the impact of those decisions made in far off lands in subtle ways as well.


The depth of the complexity of the supply chain and how technology is being used to help resolve challenges...

The impact of trucking on delays.... (And a shout out to a quoted Darden professor!)

The delays at ports won't be getting better anytime soon....

Wonderful home with acreage in Barboursville!
Michael Ball
REALTOR
PO Box 462, Crozet, VA 22932
434-242-2007
www.michaelball.realtor






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Michael Ball · PO Box 462 · Crozet, VA 22932-0462 · USA