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(AP)

Where were we? Since our last newsletter, Latin America held two presidential votes. 

First, Chile’s first-round presidential vote saw right-winger José Antonio Kast ride a wave of anxiety over immigration and crime to a first-place finish. But that doesn’t mean his victory in the December 19 second round against leftist deputy Gabriel Boric is a safe bet. Our poll tracker dives deep into the runoff race and examines which way supporters of the also-rans are leaning. 

Then in Honduras, voters defied turnout expectations, showing up in droves to reject the conservative National Party’s 12-year-old power grip. The outcome was notable not just because of the landslide win for democratic socialist Xiomara Castro, but also because the relatively peaceful process contrasted sharply with the turmoil that followed the last presidential election.

Get more regional election coverage in our 2021 guide.

The climate gauntlet. “COP26 should be seen more as a scoreboard than actually a place where extra regulation is being done,” said Institute Talanoa’s Natalie Unterstell in our latest Latin America in Focus episode. Fresh from Glasgow, she explained which countries got points on the board.

THEY SAID WHAT?

—Nasry "Tito” Asfura, the runner-up in Honduras’ election, to the president-elect, helping to guarantee a smooth recognition of results

DON'T MISS THIS
When on November 21, Venezuela’s opposition participated in a vote for the first time in three years, it seemed one gubernatorial candidate beat out Hugo Chávez’s brother. That is until he was retroactively disqualified by the Supreme Court. Associated Press reports on what this near upset means for the Maduro regime.
COVID-19 IN LATIN AMERICA
Omicron, omicron, omicron. With Brazil reporting the first confirmed case in the region, countries are readying themselves for the new variant’s impact and already reinstating travel restrictions.
FAST STATS
27%

Voter intention for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, Monterrey mayor and son of assassinated presidential hopeful, per a Reforma poll of 2024 presidential candidates. That level came as a surprise, placing him just behind Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard (31%) and Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum (30%). Gatopardo’s Fernanda Caso dissects what the poll tells us about Mexican politics.

65%
Approval level for President Andrés Manuel López Obrador as he marked the third anniversary of his inauguration and his presidential midway point. See AS/COA Online’s approval tracker

ICYMI from Americas Quarterly: Is Claudia Sheinbaum a technocrat or a true believer? Explaining the Chilean Kast and Boric paradox. Podcast: A 2022 Preview of Latin America’s Economies. With Xiomara Castro’s historic win, what happens next? Bolsonaro’s credibility on the Amazon is gone.
ALGO NICE
A major gold mine expansion project in Chile has run into one formidable yet adorable problem: about 20 chinchillas. The environmental ministry wants the rodent colony moved for construction to resume.
 
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