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Thank you for subscribing to the Southeast Asia Insider, showcasing the best of Asia Times’ latest reporting, commentary and analysis from across Southeast Asia.

This week’s edition includes:

Slap on the wrist for
Malaysian glove makers

Malaysia’s biggest export earners from the glove making and palm oil industries have had their goods blacklisted by the United States over the last two years in response to third-party complaints of human trafficking, exploitation and forced labor endured by migrant workers in plantations and factories across the Southeast Asian nation.
 
In response to a string of US Customs and Border Protection (CPB) bans, major medical glove makers have made unprecedented debt bondage repayments to tens of thousands of their current and former workers and undertaken reforms. But so-called Withhold Release Orders continue to remain active on six of the eight Malaysian companies sanctioned. 
 
Asia Times’ correspondent and Southeast Asia Insider editor Nile Bowie reported on the topic this week, interviewing both YTY Group, the latest company slapped by a US ban, and the labor activist who reported the firm to US authorities over forced labor indicators at their facilities. Bowie shared his views on the issue in this week’s Q&A. 
 
Why has the CPB moved much more aggressively against companies accused of using forced labor in recent years than previously?
 
There are several reasons. But an important one is the fact that the Barack Obama administration closed a legal loophole in 2016 that had allowed for the import of goods produced by forced or child labor. The so-called consumptive demand exception was part of a law dating back to the 1930s that had allowed goods, including those produced with forced labor, that are not produced in the United States to enter the US market in instances when domestic production could not meet consumer demand. That provision was repealed as part of much broader customs legislation that rights advocates at the time hailed as it allowed victims of forced labor and their advocates to press US customs officials to better enforce trade law. That is exactly what has happened in the years since. 
 
Prior to the repeal of the consumptive demand exception, CPB import bans were seen as being somewhat toothless. Under the more protectionist Donald Trump administration, import bans were increasingly and more powerfully applied by the CPB, which has no capacity to conduct on-the-ground investigations and relies on evidence of forced labor or lack thereof submitted by third-parties and auditors. 

Labor activists like Andy Hall, who I interviewed for my story, are admirably committed to improving conditions for workers, and nearly all of his complaints to the CPB have resulted in sanctions being implemented on companies – in some cases after considerable improvements have been made and issues seemingly rectified. Apart from activist pressure, there is also undoubtedly lobbying by US companies against foreign competitors accused of forced labor practices.  

Has the CPB established clear guidelines for companies getting their import bans lifted? 
 
The US Customs agency has told companies under WROs that persistent and consistent engagement to show that forced labor conditions have been remedied and verified by independent auditors is required to get the import bans reversed. To date, eight Malaysian companies have had their products barred from entering the US, but only two companies – Top Glove Corp and WRP Asia Pacific – have had the bans lifted. Labor activists say that while those firms did take measures to improve conditions, some argue that demand for medical gloves amid the Covid-19 pandemic led to a premature lifting of the WROs against them. 

The CBP’s acting executive director of trade remedy and law enforcement, Eric Choy, held a press conference on February 10 where he cited Top Glove, which was under a WRO for 14 months, as an example for blacklisted firms to emulate to have the bans against their products lifted. Malaysia’s Human Resources Minister Saravanan Murugan has also cited both of those companies as examples to follow. But remedying forced labor findings is not an overnight process, so industry experts believe newly blacklisted firms like YTY Group will be under import bans for at least several months. 
 
Is Malaysia’s government serious about ridding the country of forced labor conditions?
 
Many who have followed labor issues in Malaysia note that authorities have not been committed to remedying these problems in the past and have the impression that meaningful labor reforms aren’t possible in the present governance climate in Malaysia. Labor activists say that systemic corruption and abuses of power are the principal causes behind most of the forced labor in the country and the reason why credible allegations of labor trafficking are often not criminally pursued. 

Nonetheless, recent developments are encouraging. While companies in the gloves industry have made unprecedented payments to reimburse their workers for recruitment fees to ward off US sanctions or get import bans lifted, the government itself has for the first time introduced a National Action Plan on Forced Labor (NAPFL). Granted, there are indications that this framework isn’t as strong as it could be. But authorities are beginning to recognize that mounting allegations of forced labor violations pose a major risk to Malaysia’s export-reliant growth model, so I do expect that more remedial measures will be pursued going forward than was the case previously. But it all comes down to meaningful labor reform that dials up enforcement and significantly raises the costs for offenders, and that remains to be seen. 

Malaysia mulls bold reopening as recovery takes hold
Malaysia's full-year gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 3.1% in 2021, after logging 3.6% year-on-year growth in the fourth quarter, according to Malaysia’s central bank. The performance puts Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy on a recovery path after a record 5.6% contraction in 2020 as businesses closed their doors amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Malaysia has kept its international border almost entirely shut to tourists since March 2020, but on February 8, the country’s National Recovery Council recommended that international borders be "completely" reopened to all vaccinated travelers from next month. The final decision on reopening must ultimately be made by the cabinet.
 
Marcos clears legal hurdle on path to Philippine presidency
Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos, son and namesake of the late Philippine dictator, clinched a key legal victory on February 10 when the Philippines' Commission on Elections dismissed petitions to exclude him from the country's presidential election on May 9. The commission’s spokesperson said three petitions seeking to block Marcos's presidential bid citing a past tax violation "have been dismissed due to lack of merit.” The decision can be appealed, however, and the case could still be elevated to the Supreme Court. Marcos remains the favorite to win the Philippine presidency. His running mate, Davao Mayor Sara Duterte, daughter of the current leader, is leading the race for vice president.
 
Thailand remains dovish on inflation to spur growth
Despite inflation spiraling past its target, Thailand's central bank chose to keep its policy rate unchanged in a move to prioritize economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. The bank maintained its one-day repurchase rate at 0.50%, the lowest level since May 2020, which it said would “help support economic growth.” The kingdom’s central bank projects economic growth of 3.4% for 2022, based on an expectation that 5.6 million foreign tourists will visit the country this year as its tourism industry recovers. Thailand's consumer price index jumped 3.23% year-on-year in January, up from a 2.17% rise in December. The surge broke through the upper limit of the central bank's 1% to 3% inflation target.
 
Criminal charges hang over Singapore’s opposition leadership
Singapore’s main opposition party, the Workers' Party (WP), expressed “grave concern" over a recommendation by a parliamentary committee dominated by lawmakers from the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP) to refer opposition leader Pritam Singh and another senior party leader for possible criminal prosecution in relation to a complaint made against former WP legislator Raeesah Khan, who admitted to lying in parliament. A motion to debate the committee’s report in parliament next week has been filed. The recommendation puts WP’s leadership at risk of being sanctioned with fines or jail in what would be a crippling setback after the party’s historic electoral gains at polls in July 2020.
 
Indonesia in the market for French, American fighter jets
Indonesia will order 42 Rafale fighter jets in a US$8.1 billion deal, France's defense ministry confirmed on February 10. The deal makes Jakarta the second biggest French military procurement client in Southeast Asia after Singapore. Indonesia has sought to overhaul its aging air fleet, which includes US-made F-16 and Russian Sukhoi Su-27 and Su-30 jets. Jakarta also won US approval for a potential purchase of F-15s. Hours after the deal with France was announced, the US Defense Security Cooperation Agency said it will approve Indonesia's request to buy F-15 aircraft and related equipment “for an estimated cost of $13.9 billion." It added that it had notified the US Congress of the possible sale.

RECENT NEWS

Migrant labor abuse bouncing back on Malaysia
Nile Bowie  | February 11, 2022

Malaysia’s major medical glove makers control more than two-thirds of the global market for a product that has been in high demand due to the Covid-19 pandemic. But many of the Malaysian companies exporting personal protective equipment (PPE) to hospitals across the developed world face allegations of modern-day slavery over widespread labor abuses.

Will Cambodia’s Hun Manet be more pro-US than his father?
Richard S Ehrlich  | February 11, 2022

Hun Manet, who trained at the US Military Academy at West Point, may become Cambodia’s next leader after his pro-China father, Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen, recently anointed him, prompting scrutiny about how the heir apparent would deal with Washington and Beijing.

Duterte’s oligarchs enriched in waning days of his rule
Jason Castaneda  | February 10, 2022

As the election campaign to determine Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte’s successor kicks off in earnest, the outgoing populist leader is busy awarding his business cronies eleventh-hour concessions and privileges, building a class of so-called “Dutertegarchs” that will outlast his rule.

Hun Sen’s global moment tainted by labor clampdown
David Hutt | February 9, 2022

For nearly two months, aggrieved Cambodian casino workers have protested almost daily in central Phnom Penh against mass layoffs implemented last year by the Hong Kong-listed NagaCorp, a business majority-owned by Malaysian billionaire Chen Lip Keong. The protests represent a major test for Prime Minister Hun Sen’s government.

EU quietly prefers Robredo over Marcos in Philippines
David Hutt | February 7, 2022

With the Philippine presidential election campaign season kicking off in earnest, the Southeast Asian nation’s huge diaspora are picking sides among the contenders. EU officials say their fingers are crossed for a win by Leni Robredo, who has vowed to restore the country’s liberal traditions after six years of the Rodrigo Duterte presidency.

BOOK CORNER


Unsettled Frontiers: Market Formation in the Cambodia-Vietnam Borderlands

By Sango Mahanty

Cornell University Press, February 2022

Unsettled Frontiers provides a fresh view of how resource frontiers evolve over time. Since the French colonial era, the Cambodia-Vietnam borderlands have witnessed successive waves of market integration, migration, and disruption. The region has been reinvented and depleted as new commodities are exploited and transplanted: from vast French rubber plantations to the enforced collectivization of the Khmer Rouge; from intensive timber extraction to contemporary crop booms. The volatility that follows these changes has often proved challenging to govern.
 
Sango Mahanty explores the role of migration, land claiming, and expansive social and material networks in these transitions, which result in an unsettled frontier, always in flux, where communities continually strive for security within ruptured landscapes.

WHAT WE’RE WORKING ON

Bertil Lintner will plumb the depths of China’s submarine diplomacy in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Anthony Davis will examine how Myanmar’s insurgent United Wa State Army is leveraging the nation’s wider war to expand its territory.

Nile Bowie will weigh what’s next for Malaysia’s economic recovery ahead of a Cabinet decision on whether to fully reopen the country’s borders.

WHAT WE'RE READING

‘We Apologise, But We Don’t Regret’: Thailand’s Frazzled Conservatives
Fulcrum, February 11, 2022  
 
Russia’s blossoming ties with ASEAN
East Asia Forum, February 6, 2022  
 
UMNO’s Hunt for a Political Return
Between the Lines, February 5, 2022
 
Could Minilateralism Work in the South China Sea?
9Dashline, February 3, 2021

     
     
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