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By Julius Zondag

Investment Analyst

Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts (A-REITs)

Performance


On a total return basis, the S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT sector rose 20.8% over the last 12months (to the 19th of December 2024), which has seen it outperform the S&P/ASX 300 index by 7.9%. However, the A-REIT sector’s returns remain weak compared to the ASX 300, with 3-year underperformance of 4.1% on an annualised basis.


The strength of the A-REIT sector’s returns has primarily come from the following sources:


1.     Exposure to a strong future growth thematic. Australian investors wishing to access the biggest growth story in global markets (the rise in AI and quantum computing) have limited direct access to these themes locally. Viewed as a correlated area of investment, A-REITs that hold logistics and/or data centers have instead been popular with investors.


2.     The end of the interest rate cycle and expectations of interest rate cuts, both in Australia and in the US. The A-REIT sector has been more sensitive to expectations than the broader market – though a less dovish RBA and Federal Reserve than had been hoped for in December 2024 has stilted sector performance to a greater degree than the S&P/ASX 300.


Notable A-REITs


Goodman Group (ASX:GMG): With a market cap of $68.8 bn, Goodman Group dominates the sector in terms of both performance and size. A primarily industrial REIT, it has risen over 45% in the previous 12 months (to the 19th of December 2024) due to its strong financial results and exposure to future-focused investment themes.


Scentre Group (ASX:SCG): The next largest real estate company in Australia with a market cap of $17.7bn, the group, which owns, develops, and manages shopping entrées under the Westfield Brand returned a more modest 14.7%, with declining consumer sentiment ultimately dragging on performance.


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Research Methodology


Please see below for descriptions of each star rating, whose purpose is to act as a guide for dealer group research teams and investment committee:

4.5 stars and above - Outstanding. Highly suitable for inclusion on APLs.
4.25 stars - Superior. Suitable for inclusion on most APLs.
4 stars - Superior. Suitable for inclusion on most APLs.
3.75 stars - Favourable. Consider for APL inclusion.
3.5 stars - Acceptable. Consider for APL inclusion.
3.25 stars - Caution required. Not suitable for APLs.
3 stars - Strong caution required. Not suitable for APLs.
Below 3 stars – Avoid or redeem. Not suitable for APLs.
Hold - Rating is suspended until SQM Research receives further information.
Withdrawn - Rating no longer applies.

* The definitions above are not all-encompassing. Not all individual items mentioned will necessarily be relevant to the rated Fund. Users should read the current a comprehensive assessment.

Disclaimer


The rating contained in this document is issued by SQM Research Pty Ltd ABN 93 122 592 036 AFSL 421913. SQM Research is an investment research firm that undertakes research on investment products exclusively for its wholesale clients, utilising a proprietary review and star rating system. The SQM Research star rating system is of a general nature and does not take into account the particular circumstances or needs of any specific person. The rating may be subject to change at any time. Only licensed financial advisers may use the SQM Research star rating system in determining whether an investment is appropriate to a person’s particular circumstances or needs. You should read the product disclosure statement and consult a licensed financial adviser before making an investment decision in relation to this investment product. SQM Research receives a fee from the Fund Manager for the research and rating of the managed investment scheme.