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͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­ ͏ ‌     ­


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Growth of Private Credit and Its Impact on the Australian Property Market: Trends and Opportunities


Introduction


The private credit market in Australia has experienced remarkable growth in recent years, evolving into a significant alternative financing channel. This expansion has directly influenced sectors such as real estate, where access to capital is crucial. By analysing trends from 2016 to 2024, we can understand the growth trajectory of private credit and its implications for the Australian property market.


Overview of Private Credit Market Growth


According to a 2023 report by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) and market analysis from major financial firms, the Australian private credit market has grown significantly in recent years. In 2016, it was valued at AUD 33 billion, expanding to AUD 133 billion by 2021. By 2024, this market is estimated to reach AUD 205 billion. These figures represent a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15%, driven by tighter bank lending regulations and the diversification of funding sources.


Chart 1: Growth of Private Credit Market in Australia (2016-2024)


One key driver is the increased participation of institutional investors, who are drawn to private credit for its higher returns than traditional fixed-income investments. Simultaneously, businesses have turned to private lenders as banks adopt more stringent lending requirements post-global financial crisis.


Private Credit Investment in Real Estate Sectors (2023)


Private credit investments have increasingly targeted the real estate sector, with substantial allocations across various subsectors.


Chart 2: Private Credit Investment in Real Estate Sectors (CBRE Australia, 2023)

To provide an analysis of real estate sector growth:


Residential Sector:


·      Driven by urbanisation and housing demand in Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane (Preqin, 2023).


·      Affordable housing initiatives accounted for AUD12 billion in 2023 funding (KPMG Australia, 2023).


·      The build-to-rent model attracted AUD 8 billion (CBRE Australia, 2023).


Commercial Sector:


Private credit supported AUD 15 billion in office and mixed-use developments, focusing on high-demand and suburban areas (APRA, 2023), making these the key beneficiaries.


Industrial Sector:


  • Growth in e-commerce has amplified the need for logistics centres and warehousing facilities. New-age industrial hubs around ports and regional nodes are high-priority investment targets (Preqin, 2023).


  • E-commerce growth fueled AUD 10 billion in logistics infrastructure investments (CBRE Australia, 2023).


Retail Sector:


Despite challenges from online retailing, strategic retail property developments in high-footfall urban locations attracted AUD 7 billion, emphasising adaptive reuse projects in prime locations (Deloitte, 2023).



Impact on the Australian Property Market


According to the RBA report in 2023, Private credit growth has transformed property development and investment dynamics by bridging financing gaps. Real estate developers and investors now have access to more flexible financing solutions.


1.     Enhanced Development Opportunities - Flexible funding fosters innovation, supporting projects in emerging suburbs and regions (KPMG Australia, 2023).


2.     Support for Small-Scale Developers - Smaller property developers have benefited from the rise of private credit, especially those with no established banking connections (Deloitte, 2023).


3.      Boosting Residential Investments - A CBRE report (2023) points out that the private credit market’s growth has boosted residential property investments, enabling financing for acquisitions, renovations, and new developments and addressing housing shortages in key metropolitan areas.



Trends Shaping Private Credit in Real Estate


The following trends are pivotal in understanding the dynamics of private credit in Australia’s property market:


Diversified Lending Structures


Private credit funds offer mezzanine debt and preferred equity solutions, enabling lenders to offer more flexible terms, bridging the gap between senior debt and equity, and providing developers with the capital needed to undertake larger, riskier projects. According to the APRA, 2023, these alternative financing mechanisms are gaining popularity as they allow for more tailored solutions, particularly in complex real estate transactions.


Sustainability Focus


Private lenders increasingly fund eco-friendly and energy-efficient projects, aligning with global trends in green finance. Preqin (2023) reported that this shift is driving demand for green bonds and sustainable real estate projects, particularly in energy-efficient residential and commercial developments.


Geographic Expansion


As the demand for housing and commercial space expands beyond major metropolitan areas, private credit is being used to fund projects in emerging regions. Deloitte (2023) highlights that the diversification of geographic investment is helping to address housing shortages in suburban areas while also offering opportunities for higher returns in less saturated markets.


Opportunities Ahead


The expansion of the private credit market opens several opportunities for the Australian property sector:


New Investment Avenues


Investors can engage in structured real estate funds focusing on residential and commercial properties, often providing higher returns than traditional options. These funds attract institutional investors seeking diversification and stable cash flows (KPMG Australia, 2023). As the market evolves, more tailored opportunities emerge, enabling strategic responses to property market trends.


Innovation in Housing Models


Private credit drives the development of co-living spaces, build-to-rent projects, and affordable housing initiatives, particularly in urban areas facing housing shortages. These models address affordability while meeting demand from younger generations for flexible living options (CBRE Australia, 2023). Quick, tailored financing solutions further accelerate these trends.


Improved Liquidity for Developers


Faster, adaptable funding enables developers to tackle market uncertainties and seize time-sensitive opportunities. With fewer constraints than traditional loans, private credit ensures project momentum, reduces delays, and minimises cost overruns (Preqin,2023).


Conclusion


Despite the several challenges in the sector, including higher costs, regulatory scrutiny and economic uncertainty, the growth of the private credit market is reshaping the Australian property landscape. By bridging funding gaps and providing tailored lending solutions, private credit is creating new opportunities for developers and investors. The sector’s flexibility and adaptability make it a vital part of Australia’s evolving financial and real estate ecosystems.


With the right balance of innovation, regulation, and risk management, private credit has the potential to continue driving growth and diversification in the Australian property market.


By Smita Bakhat

Senior Investment Analyst

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