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Campaign posters in Brazil. (AP)

And now, the election you’ve all been waiting for. On October 2, Brazilians will vote for all 513 members of the Chamber of Deputies, a third of the Senate, and all 27 governors and state legislators. And, of course, they’ll cast ballots for their next president, with the race coming down to two massive political personalities: incumbent Jair Bolsonaro and former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Read an AS/COA Online explainer to learn the ins and outs of the vote.

Lula continues to be the frontrunner, and many observers wonder if he could even take the presidency in the first round. Check our poll tracker for more.

Regardless of who wins this highly polarized competition, the path ahead won’t be an easy one. As Americas Quarterly Editor-in-Chief Brian Winter explained in an AS/COA Insider, “[Brazilians] are 10 percent poorer on average than they were in 2013. So the concern is that no matter who wins in October, that person will still face a huge challenge putting the country back together.” Read his full thoughts.

See more coverage in our 2022 Election Guide.

Here’s one way to jumpstart U.S. ties with Latin America. “A pending bilateral tax treaty with Chile would offer Washington the chance to both improve U.S. companies’ competitiveness in a crucial regional economy, while also helping to develop ties with the region’s ‘new left,’” writes AS/COA’s Steve Liston for World Politics Review. 

THEY SAID WHAT?

—Brazilian debate moderator and journalist William Bonner after a particularly heated debate between presidential candidates on September 29

DON'T MISS THIS
Brazil isn’t the only country voting on October 2. Peruvians will participate in regional elections for mayors and governors. The top race to watch is for mayor of Lima. Polls indicate it’s too close to call, with former Interior Minister Daniel Urresti and businessman Rafael López in a technical tie. (La República, Bloomberg Línea)
FAST STATS

474

The number of pastors running for public office in Brazil's 2022 general elections.



17%

Increase in candidates from Evangelical leaders, compared with the 2018 election.



70%

Portion of Evangelicals who voted for Bolsonaro in 2018. Now, just under half of them plan to vote for him in 2022, according to polls.

Source: Americas Quarterly

ICYMI from Americas QuarterlyAQ podcast on what we’ve learned so far about Gustavo Petro. A clash over a census reflects a Bolivia in flux. A strategic moment for the U.S.-Brazil relationship. Can Petro pull off ‘total peace’ in Colombia?
ALGO INFORMATIVE
Whether the Brazilian election goes on to an October 30 runoff, we’ll be looking at the results of the first round on Monday, October 3 at 3 pm in a Twitter Space with Brian Winter and Monica de Bolle of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Join us!
 
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