Hello!

No announcements this week. Enjoy the posts!

— Lizka (for the Forum team)

We recommend:

1. Rethink Priorities’ Welfare Range Estimates (Bob Fischer, 18 min)
2. My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence (Nuño Sempere, 17 min)
3. Community-related
   1. My thoughts on parenting and having an impactful career (80,000 Hours, Michelle Hutchinson, 18 min)
   2. It was probably hard to hedge financial risk to EA (Stan van Wingerden, 10 min)
   3. The ones that walk away (Karthik Tadepalli, 5 min)
   4. Questions I ask myself when making decisions (or communicating) (Catherine Low, 4 min)
4. Evaluating StrongMinds: how strong is the evidence? (Joel McGuire, 6 min)
5. What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds - draft (Tom Davidson, 20 min)
6. Heretical Thoughts on AI - Eli Dourado (𝕮𝖎𝖓𝖊𝖗𝖆, 4 min summary)
7. Shallow Investigation: Tobacco Control (Open Philanthropy, 43 min) (see another shallow report)
8. Call me, maybe? Hotlines and Global Catastrophic Risk - Founders Pledge (christian.r​​, 32 min)
9. AI timelines and takeoff: Update to Samotsvety AGI timelines (Misha Yagudin, Jonathan Mann, NunoSempere, 4 min), What’s going on with ‘crunch time’? (Rose Hadshar, 4 min)

Announcements and updates:

1. Community announcements & updates
   1. Save the date - EAGxWarsaw 2023 - 9-10 June (Łukasz Grabowski)
   2. Announcing Cavendish Labs (dyusha, Derik K)
   3. Announcing Introductions for Collaborative Truth Seeking Tools (brook, ChanaMessinger)
   4. ALTER Israel - End-of-2022 Update (David Manheim)
   5. Anti Entropy: Supporting ops professionals in EA (redbermejo, Amber Dawn, Jeffrey Poche)
   6. FLI FAQ on the rejected grant proposal controversy (Tegmark)
2. News 
   1. NYT: Google will “recalibrate” the risk of releasing AI due to competition with OpenAI (summary by Michael Huang)
   2. Dean Karlan is now Chief Economist of USAID (Henry Howard)
   3. Available talent after major layoffs at tech giants (nicolenohemi)

Classic Forum post:

• Key Lessons From Social Movement History (Jamie Harris)