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Q1 2023 Commentary
Incertus Portfolio

From IRON's Investment Team Leaders...
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The portfolio gained 3.94% for the quarter, compared to 4.33% for the Morningstar Moderate Target Risk Index.
 
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Highlights
 
  • The portfolio's equity portion generated a 2.79% gain, compared to a gain of 7.41% for the MSCI ACWI Index and 7.50% for the S&P 500.
  • The fixed income holdings in the portfolio gained 4.98% and outperformed the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index.
  • The portfolio's commodity exposure, including momentum commodities and gold, contributed positively to the portfolio's overall gain.
Portfolio Changes

There were several changes in the portfolio during the first quarter of 2023.
  • We exited eight equity positions and increased two equity positions, including Duke Energy based in part on expected benefits from the Inflation Protection Act, and an emerging market equities position due to attractive valuation, tailwinds in China, and enhanced diversification.
  • On the fixed income front, we increased our allocation to inflation-protected long-duration treasury bonds due to the attractive break-even inflation rate and the potential economic slowdown.
More Details on the Portfolio Changes
Outlook
 
The ongoing war in Ukraine has created geopolitical fractures, potentially leading to increased defense spending and supply chain diversification, while also elevating the risk of recession over the next two years. In this environment, portfolio resilience is more critical than reaching for yield, and U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), commodities, and select global inflation-linked investments could prove prudent.
Working Hard For You
 
Your portfolio is a multi-asset, balanced portfolio, designed to weather and thrive through a variety of market conditions. The all-weather portfolio focuses on balancing exposure to economic and market risks (economic growth, inflation, deflation, and reliable diversification). 

In Case You Missed It...


IRON's Investment Team Leaders recapped Q1 2023.

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Disclosures

This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of this email and may change without notice. The information and opinions are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources deemed by IRON Financial to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive, and their accuracy is not guaranteed. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions is accepted by IRON Financial, its officers, employees, or agents. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader.

The information herein has not been based on the consideration of any individual investor circumstances and is not investment advice, nor should it be construed in any way as tax, accounting, legal, or regulatory advice. Investors should seek independent legal and financial advice, including advice as to tax consequences, before making any investment decision.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

The IRON Incertus Portfolio offers an actively managed diversified asset-class exposure to global equities, fixed income, and commodities. The portfolio objective is to outperform a moderate target risk index, while delivering lower drawdown.

Performance results are based on a composite consisting of eligible accounts. Performance results from inception of February 1, 2019 to April 30, 2020 are of a single account owned and managed by a related person of IRON under the supervision of IRON’s Chief Investment Officer. A second account owned by a related person of IRON was added on May 1, 2020. Unrelated client accounts are included in the composite beginning September 1, 2020. Inclusion of an account within the composite is determined on a monthly basis, requires investment in the IRON Incertus Portfolio for the entire calendar month, and a beginning monthly balance of at least $100,000. Performance for periods longer than a year has been annualized using a geometric mean. Actual performance of client portfolios may differ materially due to the timing of investment of capital, the reinvestment of dividends, length of time various positions are held, client objectives and restrictions, and fees and expenses incurred by the individual portfolio.

For time periods between February 1, 2019 and December 31, 2021, management fees of 0.70% annually, our highest published fee during that period, have been deducted from gross performance results for the IRON Incertus Portfolio. From January 1, 2022 onward, management fees of 0.59% annually are deducted from gross performance results. Client accounts are charged quarterly in arrears based on the quarter-end value adjusted for capital flows. Net returns reflect a monthly accrued deduction of management fees. IRON’s fees are available upon request and may be found in our Form ADV Part 2A disclosure brochure.

IRON has designated the Morningstar Moderate Target Risk TR USD Index as the portfolio’s benchmark. The Morningstar Moderate Target Risk Index seeks approximately 60% exposure to global equity markets, with the remaining exposure allocated to bond and inflation-hedged instruments.

The S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies listed on US stock exchanges. The S&P 500 Total Return Index is cited for comparison purposes because we feel it is more well understood by investors than a blended benchmark and would therefore better allow investors to compare and contrast various characteristics, such as volatility measures. Index returns do not reflect the deduction of advisory fees. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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