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Your Guide to the Suburban Philadelphia Real Estate Market
      
 

Suburban Philadelphia Real Estate
      March 2013 Newsletter
A note from Brendan Reilly

Greetings!  My newsletter covers local and national real estate trends to keep you abreast of current conditions.  If you or anyone you know is looking to buy or sell a property in Suburban Philadelphia, I would love to help!


National News 


Pending Home Sales Up
WASHINGTON (February 27, 2013) - Pending home sales rose in January, and have been above year-ago levels for the past 21 months, according to the National Association of Realtors®. There were healthy monthly gains in all regions but the West, which is constrained by limited inventory but was slightly improved.  NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun explains: "Favorable affordability conditions and job growth have unleashed a pent-up demand. Most areas are drawing down housing inventory, which has shifted the supply/demand balance to sellers in much of the country. It's also why we're experiencing the strongest price growth in more than seven years.


Freddie Mac’s projections for the real estate market in 2013

Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist, explains:
“Across the nation, most local housing markets have room for sustainable growth, particularly in home construction and sales. As the broader economy heals, expect to see more good news with house prices continuing their recent upward trend, and home sales and housing starts continuing to post strong growth rates.”  The report also offered projections on sales and prices.

Housing Starts and Sales

  • Projecting housing starts in 2013 will increase to 950,000 units or about 22 percent higher than 2012 levels.
  • Existing home sales are expected to pick-up as the house price recovery allows homeowners who have been forced on the sidelines by negative equity to get back into the market.

House Prices

  • While most metro areas saw substantial run-ups in prices during the boom, well above income growth, the subsequent market correction was in many cases more severe.
  • The level of affordability in most markets suggests a continued improvement in home prices, and strong growth in sales and construction.

FHA Loans- More Expensive Than Expected
The 3.5% down payment on FHA loans could be more expensive for buyers than expected. Beginning April 1, 2013, the mortgage insurance premium will go up by .1% to 1.35% which may not even be noticeable to most would-be homeowners. The staggering increase will occur on 6/3/2013 when FHA’s policy on the duration of the required mortgage insurance will be increased for the life of the mortgage. It basically doubles the amount of total MIP if the loan is paid to term. Below is an example with a purchase price of $175,000 with 3.5% down payment at 4% mortgage rate on 30 year term.
FHA Changes


Timeline: US Housing Market Recovery March 12 (Reuters) - The U.S. housing market began its recovery last year after a downturn that led to the country's worst recession since the Great Depression. Prices for new homes have risen every month since February 2012. Housing starts for single-family homes and permits for future construction touched 4-1/2-year highs in January 2013.Following is a summary of key developments in the sector since January 2012 US Housing Market Recovery

 

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Market Snapshot by County

Continued signs of improvement in all three counties!

Chester      2012     2013    Change
Settled         517        597       15.5%
Pending       393         505      28.5%
Inventory    3,248      2,699   (16.9%)

Delco        2012     2013    Change
Settled        469        557       18.8%
Pending       403       414         2.7%
Inventory   3,319     2,942     (11.4%)

Montco     2012     2013    Change
Settled        763        832       9.04%
Pending      569        643       13.0%
Inventory   4,175     3,588     (16.4%)




In the News...

Assessment appeals, lost taxes a drain on TESD: Financial evidence presented at the Tredyffrin/Easttown School Board budget workshop suggested that the district has a revenue problem. District Business Manager Art McDonnell described the dramatic losses in income since the 2006-07 school year, which included millions in taxes and other revenues. In the last six years, the district has lost more than $14 million in property tax revenue from assessment appeals. The recurring, yearly totals include a high of $976,000 in 2010-11. Combined with the $411,000 in appeals for 2012-13, the cumulative total loss for the year is $3.95 million. Even if there are no appeals this year, the loss remains constant moving forward. Transfer tax revenue dropped from $3 million to $1.7 million last year. Other revenue losses were noted through loss of interest income and interim tax. The next budget workshop meeting on April 1 at 7:30 p.m. will focus on expenses.  Adoption of the proposed final budget will come on May 13, followed by final adoption on June 17.

Newtown Municipal Authority approves new agreements: 
The Newtown Municipal Authority approved a resolution regarding an amendment to the Sewer Agreement between Ashford/Liseter, Newtown Township, the Municipal Authority and Episcopal Academy.The agreement was needed since the Ashford/Liseter developers modified the original plan for the pump station and sewer line worked out with Episcopal Academy. Part of the modification is the placement of the sewer line in an open space area to be dedicated to the township.  The Authority also approved the Sewer Agreement for Newtown Square JV LLC development of Somerset Tract/Terrazza. The agreement will provide sewer service to the homes on Dogwood Lane and those residents will not be charged.

Chesco route for shale gas: In the latest manifestation of the Marcellus Shale natural gas boom, a major interstate pipeline company wants to expand its transmission network in the Philadelphia area to deliver more gas to customers. Columbia Gas Transmission Group has submitted plans with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) outlining a public campaign for its $210 million project. The East Side Expansion project includes installing a 20-inch-diameter pipeline on a 7.5-mile route in Gloucester County and a 26-inch-diameter pipeline for 8.9 miles in Chester County. The new and larger pipes with greater capacity, which would be buried alongside existing Columbia pipes, will require the company to acquire additional right-of-ways from adjoining property owners. The Chester County segment would run southward from Columbia’s Eagle Compressor Station on Fellowship Road in West Vincent Township. It would connect to the Downingtown Compressor Station on Poorhouse Road in West Bradford Township. About 180 property owners would be impacted. Columbia will compensate property owners for obtaining the right of way. As a regulated pipeline, the company has the right to obtain easements through eminent domain. Another Marcellus project planned for the area, the Commonwealth Pipeline is creating more anxiety because it will cross Chester County on a new, and as yet undisclosed, route.


Citizen input helped pick Paoli site: 
In October, Paoli Transit Associates LLC, Tredyffrin Township and SEPTA held an open house to introduce the public to three possible locations for the proposed Paoli Transportation Center station.Tredyffrin engineer Steve Burgo called the open house an effort to get more input from citizens about the total project, including the selection of a station site. Shortly after SEPTA announced that the station’s location would remain essentially in the same place as it is now, and that the North Valley Road bridge would be abandoned and be replaced by a curved access bridge one block to the east at Darby Road, Burgo confirmed that more than two thirds of those who had responded to SEPTA’s survey of locations had favored the Darby Road plan over of the other two, which would have moved the station west of North Valley. The site selection means the new station will be entirely in Tredyffrin, and there will be no train related impact on Willistown. According to Burgo, traffic impact is the next step with East Central and West Central avenues part of the study area.  The next open house on the Paoli Transportation Center station will take plan in June.

Lower Merion school officials contend with rising enrollment: With new building projects on tap in Lower Merion Township, school district officials are grappling with school population increases in areas that were once limited in residential population.Residential projects are being considered in the township in areas that were zoned industrial or institutional use, such as areas along the Schuylkill River on Righters Ferry and Rock Hill roads. Lower Merion School District Superintendent Chris McGinley discussed potential changes to Policy 206, the district enrollment policy, which would aid in the assignment of prospective new students to schools. The large size of several of the residential projects, some with hundreds of units, presents a problem with overcrowding based upon current school patterns. The superintendent would like the authority to look at student population and make an assignment of a new community to an existing school feeder area. Policy 206 is subject to review each time the district undergoes construction projects.





  

Crescent Real Estate LLC
320 A Turner Lane
West Chester, PA 19380
P: 215.510.2992
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